Result
1:2
30/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽,
- 45', Benavidez J. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Romero C. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
- 46', Chavez B. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
- 47', Portillo A. 🟨,
- 49', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 59', Garcia A. ↓, Vuelto D. ↑,
- 60', Monico D. ↓, Ramirez L. ↑,
- 68', Osorto R. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
- 76', Espinal M. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
- 81', Arzu E. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Vuelto D. ⚽,
- 90+3', Arzu E. ↓, Tatum Ferrera A. K. ↑,
- 90+4', Hernandez E. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Victoria La Ceiba
25.9% | Draw
25% | Real España
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoria La Ceiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria La Ceiba's performance.Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real España might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria La Ceiba that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real España could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Victoria La Ceiba - Real España Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↓
(5.2) |
3.64 ↓
(4) |
1.85 ↑
(1.51) |
10.2%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- Real España is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 1.
- Victoria La Ceiba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Real España has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Victoria La Ceiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Real España might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Real España?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Real España has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Victoria La Ceiba - Real España were as follows:
11.03.2026
Real España
-
Victoria La Ceiba
4:1
08.11.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Real España
0:2
10.09.2025
Real España
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:3
20.04.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Real España
1:1
16.02.2025
Real España
-
Victoria La Ceiba
2:1
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Latest results of Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua ✔ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia ✔ | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 7 | Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
