Result
3:0
04/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 0, Martos M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 81', 3 - 0, Burgos F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Jaén
46.6% | Draw
30.4% | Atlético Malagueño
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Jaén's form might have worsened.Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Real Jaén - Atlético Malagueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.66) |
3.01 ↓
(3.35) |
3.99 ↓
(4.94) |
9.3%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Real Jaén - Atlético Malagueño?
Users Predictions:
Real Jaén will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Jaén will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent form of Jaén has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Malagueño has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Jaén is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaén won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Jaén won against Atlético Malagueño?
Real Jaén has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Malagueño won against Real Jaén?
Atlético Malagueño has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Jaén - Atlético Malagueño were as follows:
Latest results of Real Jaén
Latest results of Atlético Malagueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Xerez CD | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 51 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | UCAM Murcia | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 49 |
| 4 | Aguilas FC | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Recreativo Huelva | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35:17 | 18 | 48 |
| 6 | CD Extremadura | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 42:32 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Jaen | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Linares | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 39 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 25:25 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | La Union | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:35 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 36 |
| 13 | Xerez D.F.C | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:33 | -2 | 34 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | CD Estepona | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Melilla | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20:40 | -20 | 19 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22:51 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Malaga B is Relegated to
