Real Jaén vs Atlético Malagueño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
04/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Martos M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 81', 3 - 0, Burgos F. ,

Chances of winning


Real Jaén
46.6%
Draw
30.4%
Atlético Malagueño
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 27.1% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 19.7% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Jaén's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Real Jaén - Atlético Malagueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.66)
    3.01
    (3.35)
    3.99
    (4.94)
    9.3%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Real Jaén - Atlético Malagueño?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jaén (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Real Jaén will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent form of Jaén has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Malagueño has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Jaén is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaén won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Real Jaén
    21.12.2025 Águilas - Real Jaén 1:1
    14.12.2025 Real Jaén - UCAM Murcia 0:3
    30.11.2025 Xerez CD - Real Jaén 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Malagueño
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguilas FC25137532:181446
    2Recreativo Huelva25128534:161844
    3UCAM Murcia25135737:29844
    4Xerez CD25126725:19642
    5Jaen25118632:26641
    6Deportiva Minera25125834:241041
    7CD Extremadura24109537:29839
    8Lorca Deportiva25116826:24239
    9Linares24810629:33-434
    10Yeclano251031221:23-233
    11La Union2496928:28033
    12Antoniano25951128:31-332
    13Puente Genil2588922:27-532
    14Xerez D.F.C25610928:31-328
    15Melilla24510923:25-225
    16CD Estepona25651423:35-1223
    17Almeria B25461518:35-1718
    18Malaga B25351719:43-2414

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          Relegation