Result
3:0
04/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 0, Martos M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 81', 3 - 0, Burgos F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Jaén
46.6% | Draw
30.4% | Atlético Malagueño
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Jaén's form might have worsened.Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Real Jaén - Atlético Malagueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.66) |
3.01 ↓
(3.35) |
3.99 ↓
(4.94) |
9.3%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Real Jaén - Atlético Malagueño?
Users Predictions:
Real Jaén will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Jaén will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent form of Jaén has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Malagueño has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Jaén is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaén won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Jaén won against Atlético Malagueño?
Real Jaén has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Malagueño won against Real Jaén?
Atlético Malagueño has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Jaén - Atlético Malagueño were as follows:
Latest results of Real Jaén
Latest results of Atlético Malagueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52:37 | 15 | 60 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 60 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 43:25 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Jaen | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 57 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 31:24 | 7 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:40 | 9 | 55 |
| 7 | Recreativo Huelva | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38:23 | 15 | 54 |
| 8 | Linares | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 41:43 | -2 | 47 |
| 9 | Lorca Deportiva | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 32:32 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 | Antoniano | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 37:39 | -2 | 43 |
| 12 | CD Estepona | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:43 | -4 | 43 |
| 13 | La Union | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 43:43 | 0 | 42 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C. ✔ | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla ✔ | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 26:51 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 29:63 | -34 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Xerez D.F.C. is Relegated to
Melilla is Relegated to
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
