Melilla vs Real Jaén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainTelevision Melilla

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Martos M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+10', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Melilla
42.8%
Draw
31.9%
Real Jaén
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 32.6% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 33.6% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Melilla - Real Jaén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.32)
    2.9
    (2.82)
    3.65
    (3.3)
    8.3%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 2.
    • Melilla has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jaén is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Melilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Melilla might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melilla - Real Jaén were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Real Jaén - Melilla 1:1
    Latest results of Melilla
    08.02.2026 Melilla - Puente Genil 1:0
    01.02.2026 Xerez CD - Melilla 1:0
    25.01.2026 Melilla - La Unión 2:2
    18.01.2026 Minera - Melilla 2:1
    Latest results of Real Jaén
    15.02.2026 Real Jaén - Minera 2:0
    01.02.2026 Real Jaén - Estepona 0:0
    25.01.2026 Almeria B - Real Jaén 1:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Xerez CD28156730:21951
    2Deportiva Minera28155840:271350
    3UCAM Murcia28147741:32949
    4Aguilas FC28147736:221449
    5Recreativo Huelva28139635:171848
    6CD Extremadura281211542:321047
    7Jaen28129734:28645
    8Lorca Deportiva281261028:28042
    9Linares28912732:37-539
    10Yeclano281141325:25037
    11La Union281061234:35-136
    12Antoniano281061231:33-236
    13Xerez D.F.C288101031:33-234
    14Puente Genil28891123:31-833
    15CD Estepona28861429:38-930
    16Melilla286111127:30-329
    17Almeria B28471720:40-2019
    18Malaga B ✔ 28352022:51-2914

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          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Malaga B is Relegated to