Atalanta vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo).

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Canal+ Live 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 3, Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Sports
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, Virgin Media More
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.94	1.57
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Goal Attempts
20	10
Shots on Goal
9	6
Shots off Goal
7	3
Blocked Shots
4	1
Big Chances
2	7
Corner Kicks
5	2
Shots inside the Box
13	7
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
Free Kicks
13	15
Offsides
2	0
Fouls
15	13
Yellow Cards
1	2
Throw-ins
16	12
Touches in the Opposition Box
28	13
Passes
89% (508/568)	85% (399/470)
Passes in the final third
86% (175/203)	71% (69/97)
Crosses
19% (5/27)	0% (0/2)
Tackles
25% (3/12)	67% (10/15)
Clearances Total
12	20
Interceptions
10	13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Diaz B. (A),
36', Mbappe K. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
45+2', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, De Ketelaere C. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 1 - 2, Vinicius Junior ⚽,
58', Pasalic M. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Bellingham J. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
65', 2 - 3, Lookman A. ⚽, Samardzic L. (A),
74', Djimsiti B. ↓, Kossounou O. ↑,
74', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
75', Bellanova R. ↓, Zappacosta D. ↑,
84', Ceballos D. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
84', Diaz B. ↓, Asencio R. ↑,
87', Bellingham J. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
87', Ruggeri M. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
90+2', Kossounou O. 🟨,
90+3', Lucas 🟨,

Chances of winning

Atalanta
36.6%

Draw
26.7%

Real Madrid
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26.3%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27.4%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Atalanta - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.71)	3.62 ↓ (3.64)	2.64 ↑ (2.49)	3.4% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : UniMás

What is the prediction for Atalanta - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 119 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 40 - 33.6%). Real will win (votes: 51 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 34% – 51.8%. The data is statistically significant.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Atalanta in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches Real is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Real have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J. (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Camavinga E. (Thigh Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Mendy F. (Muscle Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Atalanta: Zappacosta D. (Calf Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Real Madrid?

Atalanta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Atalanta?

Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Real Madrid were as follows:

14.08.2024 Real Madrid - Atalanta 2:0

Latest results of Atalanta

06.12.2024 Atalanta - Milan 2:1 ✺

02.12.2024 Roma - Atalanta 0:2 ✺

26.11.2024 Young Boys - Atalanta 1:6 ✺

23.11.2024 Parma - Atalanta 1:3 ✺

10.11.2024 Atalanta - Udinese 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

07.12.2024 Girona - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺

04.12.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺

01.12.2024 Real Madrid - Getafe 2:0 ✺

27.11.2024 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:0 ✺

24.11.2024 Leganés - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	PSG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Slavia Prague	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Club Brugge KV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
25	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
26	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
27	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
28	Olympiacos Piraeus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
29	Bodo/Glimt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
30	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
31	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
32	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
33	Qarabag	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
34	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
35	PSV	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
36	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

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