Result
2:3
10/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, Fox Sports |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
 Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | Canal+ Live 3 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Stod 2 Sport 3, Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Ireland | Virgin Media Player |
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena |
 Japan | Wowow Prime |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Malta | TSN Malta 2 |
 Mexico | HBO Max, MAX, TNT Sports |
 Montenegro | Arena Premium 1 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand, TVWan |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovakia | Kanal A, Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, Virgin Media More |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (508/568) | 85% (399/470) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 86% (175/203) | 71% (69/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 0% (0/2) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 67% (10/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Diaz B. (A),
- 36', Mbappe K. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
- 45+2', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, De Ketelaere C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 1 - 2, Vinicius Junior ⚽,
- 58', Pasalic M. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 3, Bellingham J. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
- 65', 2 - 3, Lookman A. ⚽, Samardzic L. (A),
- 74', Djimsiti B. ↓, Kossounou O. ↑,
- 74', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
- 75', Bellanova R. ↓, Zappacosta D. ↑,
- 84', Ceballos D. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
- 84', Diaz B. ↓, Asencio R. ↑,
- 87', Bellingham J. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
- 87', Ruggeri M. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
- 90+2', Kossounou O. 🟨,
- 90+3', Lucas 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atalanta
36.6% | Draw
26.7% | Real Madrid
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Atalanta - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(2.71) |
3.62 ↓
(3.64) |
2.64 ↑
(2.49) |
3.4%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers) Network on : UniMás
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Real Madrid?
Users Predictions:
119 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 40 - 33.6%). Real will win (votes: 51 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 34% – 51.8%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Atalanta in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Real is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Real have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J.
(Muscle Injury)
Scalvini G.
(Shoulder Injury)
Scamacca G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Real: Alaba D.
(Knee Injury)
Camavinga E.
(Thigh Injury)
Carvajal D.
(Knee Injury)
Mendy F.
(Muscle Injury)
Militao E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atalanta: Zappacosta D.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Real Madrid?
Atalanta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Atalanta?
Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Real Madrid were as follows:
14.08.2024
Real Madrid
-
Atalanta
2:0
Latest results of Atalanta
Latest results of Real Madrid
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 1 : 3 |
