Osasuna vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona).

LaLiga - Round 25
Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.05	1.70
Ball possession
39%	61%
Total shots
13	15
Shots on target
2	5
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
3	7
Passes
83% (293/353)	90% (513/571)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
2.05	1.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.09	1.80
Total shots
13	15
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked shots
5	5
Shots inside the box
11	7
Shots outside the box
2	8
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
20	27
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
10	19
Passes
83% (293/353)	90% (513/571)
Long passes
49% (17/35)	51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
77% (87/113)	83% (138/167)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	1.66
Throw ins
10	14
Fouls
19	10
Tackles
88% (7/8)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
35	42
Clearances
24	16
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
4	1
xGOT faced
1.80	1.09
Goals prevented
0.80	-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Oroz A. 🟨,
37', Courtois T. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Budimir A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Camavinga E. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
64', Carvajal D. ↓, Alexander-Arnold T. ↑,
66', Moncayola J. 🟨,
66', Garcia R. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,
67', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
71', Oroz A. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
75', Valverde F. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
82', Guler A. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
83', Rosier V. ↓, Arguibide I. ↑,
83', Moncayola J. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
84', Alexander-Arnold T. 🟨,
88', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽, Moro R. (A),
90+3', Alaba D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Osasuna
19.6%

Draw
23.8%

Real Madrid
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

23%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

22.4%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Osasuna - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (4.59)	4.01 ↓ (4.14)	1.69 (1.69)	4.5% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Osasuna - Real Madrid?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.75 - Osasuna (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Osasuna (4.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Osasuna (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (52 of 62 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.71% – 93.03%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Real (votes: 10 - 76.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 0.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Real is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Knee Injury) Boyomo F. (Injury)
There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Hamstring Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Huijsen D. (Muscle Injury) Rodrygo (Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:48. (average 0.6:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.9:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna won against Real Madrid?

Osasuna has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Osasuna?

Real Madrid has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Osasuna - Real Madrid were as follows:

19.08.2025 Real Madrid - Osasuna 1:0

15.02.2025 Osasuna - Real Madrid 1:1

09.11.2024 Real Madrid - Osasuna 4:0

16.03.2024 Osasuna - Real Madrid 2:4

07.10.2023 Real Madrid - Osasuna 4:0

Latest results of Osasuna

13.02.2026 Elche - Osasuna 0:0 ✺

06.02.2026 Celta de Vigo - Osasuna 1:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Osasuna - Villarreal 2:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 1:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Osasuna - Real Oviedo 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

17.02.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Valencia - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

01.02.2026 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

28.01.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 4:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	31	26	1	4	84:30	54	79
2	Real Madrid	31	22	4	5	65:29	36	70
3	Villarreal	31	19	4	8	56:36	20	61
4	Atl. Madrid	31	17	6	8	51:32	19	57
5	Betis	31	11	13	7	45:38	7	46
6	Celta Vigo	31	11	11	9	44:40	4	44
7	Real Sociedad	31	11	9	11	49:48	1	42
8	Getafe	30	12	5	13	27:31	-4	41
9	Osasuna	31	10	9	12	37:38	-1	39
10	Espanyol	31	10	8	13	37:48	-11	38
11	Ath Bilbao	31	11	5	15	33:45	-12	38
12	Girona	31	9	11	11	33:45	-12	38
13	Rayo Vallecano	31	8	11	12	29:38	-9	35
14	Valencia	31	9	8	14	34:46	-12	35
15	Mallorca	31	9	7	15	39:48	-9	34
16	Sevilla	31	9	7	15	39:51	-12	34
17	Alaves	31	8	9	14	35:46	-11	33
18	Elche	31	7	11	13	39:47	-8	32
19	Oviedo	31	6	9	16	24:48	-24	27
20	Levante	30	6	8	16	34:50	-16	26

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )