The Town vs Real Monarchs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

PayPal Park (San Jose, CA).

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Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.72	0.46
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
86% (344/398)	83% (315/380)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
3.83	0.62
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
14	3
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
33	21
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
14	12
Passes
86% (344/398)	83% (315/380)
Long passes
51% (19/37)	47% (14/30)
Passes in final third
67% (60/89)	73% (60/82)
Crosses
44% (4/9)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.86	0.80
Throw-ins
19	14
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
57% (13/23)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
42	35
Clearances
19	12
Interceptions
14	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.62	3.83
Goals prevented
0.42	-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Medina C. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A), Ibarra R. (A2)
32', Fernandez N. 🟨,
38', Berrios D. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Medina C. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Berrios D. ↓, Jennings M. ↑,
49', Anderson O. 🟨,
52', Moisa L. 🟨,
64', 3 - 0, Adimabua N. ⚽,
65', Duke C. ↓, Rocio D. ↑,
65', Moisa L. ↓, Campaz B. ↑,
68', Marquez O. 🟨,
70', Donnery J. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
70', Rodriguez M. ↓, Walwyn-Bent K. ↑,
76', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Villa G. ↑,
76', Mesalles R. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
78', Adimabua N. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Medina C. ⚽,
84', Fernandez N. ↓, Spivey K. ↑,
84', Ibarra R. ↓, Kikuchi Y. ↑,
90', Cowell C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

The Town
45.7%

Draw
25.5%

Real Monarchs
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+1%)

The Town - Real Monarchs Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.09)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	3.26 ↑ (3.04)	6.5% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Real Monarchs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, The Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has The Town won against Real Monarchs?

The Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against The Town?

Real Monarchs has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between The Town - Real Monarchs were as follows:

10.04.2025 Real Monarchs - The Town 2:1

08.09.2024 Real Monarchs - The Town 2:1

21.07.2024 The Town - Real Monarchs 2:1

14.04.2024 Real Monarchs - The Town 0:1

Latest results of The Town

22.07.2025 The Town - Minnesota United 2 3:2 ✺

13.07.2025 The Town - Sporting Kansas City II 3:1 ✺

03.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 5:4 ✺

29.06.2025 The Town - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

22.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - The Town 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Monarchs

20.07.2025 Real Monarchs - Austin II 2:1 ✺

17.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 2:3 ✺

13.07.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Real Monarchs - St. Louis City 2 1:3 ✺

29.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs 2:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	23	14	2	2	5	54:46	48
2	Philadelphia Union II	23	10	5	3	5	48:26	43
3	Chicago Fire II	22	11	3	2	6	54:37	41
4	New England Revolution II	21	10	5	1	5	40:27	41
5	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
6	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
7	Cincinnati 2	22	5	7	0	10	25:31	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
2	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
3	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
4	Carolina Core	23	6	4	4	9	31:33	30
5	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
6	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
7	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
2	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
3	Real Monarchs	21	8	4	3	6	38:35	35
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
5	Los Angeles FC II	23	8	2	1	12	39:48	29
6	Portland Timbers 2	22	7	2	3	10	34:40	28
7	Tacoma Defiance	21	7	2	2	10	51:53	27

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	23	16	3	0	4	53:30	54
2	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
3	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
4	Minnesota 2	22	8	2	3	9	36:37	31
5	North Texas	22	8	3	1	10	35:47	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	22	2	1	3	16	21:55	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	23	14	2	2	5	54:46	48
2	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
3	Philadelphia Union II	23	10	5	3	5	48:26	43
4	Chicago Fire II	22	11	3	2	6	54:37	41
5	New England Revolution II	21	10	5	1	5	40:27	41
6	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
7	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
8	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
9	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
10	Carolina Core	23	6	4	4	9	31:33	30
11	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
12	Cincinnati 2	22	5	7	0	10	25:31	29
13	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
14	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	23	16	3	0	4	53:30	54
2	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
3	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
4	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
5	Real Monarchs	21	8	4	3	6	38:35	35
6	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
8	Minnesota 2	22	8	2	3	9	36:37	31
9	North Texas	22	8	3	1	10	35:47	31
10	Los Angeles FC II	23	8	2	1	12	39:48	29
11	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
12	Portland Timbers 2	22	7	2	3	10	34:40	28
13	Tacoma Defiance	21	7	2	2	10	51:53	27
14	Sporting Kansas City II	22	2	1	3	16	21:55	11

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)