Real Salt Lake vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati
Result
0:1
19/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.55
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
90% (480/536)84% (346/414)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.66
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
90% (480/536)84% (346/414)
Long passes
57% (25/44)57% (23/40)
Passes in final third
80% (105/132)67% (58/86)
Crosses
12% (2/17)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.42
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1114
Tackles
50% (8/16)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
2321
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.660.97
Goals prevented
-0.340.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Baird C. 🟨,
  • 27', Hadebe T. 🟨,
  • 31', Katranis A. 🟨,
  • 39', Vera B. 🟨,
  • 42', Flores G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Katranis A. , Junqua S. ,
  • 62', Piol A. , Agada W. ,
  • 62', Ruiz P. , Eneli E. ,
  • 63', Valenzuela G. , Orellano L. ,
  • 63', Baird C. , Kamara K. ,
  • 63', Powell A. , Yedlin D. ,
  • 71', Gozo Z. , Russell J. ,
  • 73', Yedlin D. 🟨,
  • 74', Hadebe T. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 85', Engel L. , Miazga M. ,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Orellano L. , Anunga T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Salt Lake
44.1%
Draw
27.9%
Cincinnati
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 28.4% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.6% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Salt Lake's performance.
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cincinnati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Salt Lake that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cincinnati could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.54)
    3.43
    (3.34)
    3.37
    (2.76)
    4.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Salt Lake has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cincinnati is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Salt Lake might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury) Wolff T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Leg Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Yedlin D. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Salt Lake won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati were as follows:
    17.09.2022 Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati 1:2
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2