Real Salt Lake vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
19/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.55
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
90% (480/536)84% (346/414)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.66
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
90% (480/536)84% (346/414)
Long passes
57% (25/44)57% (23/40)
Passes in final third
80% (105/132)67% (58/86)
Crosses
12% (2/17)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.42
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1114
Tackles
50% (8/16)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
2321
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.660.97
Goals prevented
-0.340.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Baird C. 🟨,
  • 27', Hadebe T. 🟨,
  • 31', Katranis A. 🟨,
  • 39', Vera B. 🟨,
  • 42', Flores G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Katranis A. , Junqua S. ,
  • 62', Piol A. , Agada W. ,
  • 62', Ruiz P. , Eneli E. ,
  • 63', Valenzuela G. , Orellano L. ,
  • 63', Baird C. , Kamara K. ,
  • 63', Powell A. , Yedlin D. ,
  • 71', Gozo Z. , Russell J. ,
  • 73', Yedlin D. 🟨,
  • 74', Hadebe T. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 85', Engel L. , Miazga M. ,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Orellano L. , Anunga T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Salt Lake
44.1%
Draw
27.9%
Cincinnati
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 28.4% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.6% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Salt Lake's performance.
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cincinnati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Salt Lake that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cincinnati could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.54)
    3.43
    (3.34)
    3.37
    (2.76)
    4.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Salt Lake (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Salt Lake has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cincinnati is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Salt Lake might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury) Wolff T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Leg Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Yedlin D. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Salt Lake won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati were as follows:
    17.09.2022 Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati 1:2
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)