Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Perez J. ⚽,
- 35', Cuero B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 🟨,
- 45+2', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Velasco Y. ↓, Salas H. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Castillo D. ⚽,
- 65', Castro B. ↓, Medina M. ↑,
- 68', Ahumada S. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
- 84', Castillo D. ↓, Jefferson R. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Jefferson R. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3kmyazfv
Chances of winning
Real Santander
24.3% | Draw
28.1% | Bogotá
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Santander's form might have worsened.Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bogotá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+14.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Santander, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-15.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bogotá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Santander - Bogotá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↑
(2.44) |
3.28 ↑
(3.23) |
1.94 ↓
(2.8) |
8.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Santander - Bogotá?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Bogotá will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 3.
- Real Santander is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Bogotá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Real Santander may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Santander won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Santander won against Bogotá?
Real Santander has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bogotá won against Real Santander?
Bogotá has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Santander - Bogotá were as follows:
04.08.2025
Real Santander
-
Bogotá
4:0
22.02.2025
Bogotá
-
Real Santander
2:1
09.09.2024
Bogotá
-
Real Santander
1:0
06.04.2024
Real Santander
-
Bogotá
3:0
02.09.2023
Bogotá
-
Real Santander
1:2
Latest results of Real Santander
Colombian Primera B Table
Apertura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Quindio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Envigado | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Tigres | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. Magdalena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Cartagena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Bogota | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | Barranquilla | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)
