Result
2:0
26/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Lerma J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 🟨,
- 58', Giraldo J. ↓, Surmay O. ↑,
- 69', Ortiz D. 🟨,
- 74', Iguaran C. ↓, Narvaez L. ↑,
- 74', Mercado J. ↓, Ballesteros M. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Narvaez L. ⚽,
- 82', Lerma J. ↓, Banqueth I. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/9ee9bwx4
Chances of winning
Unión Magdalena
65.1% | Draw
21.6% | Real Santander
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Magdalena's form might have worsened.Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Magdalena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-4%)
Unión Magdalena - Real Santander Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.31) |
4.28 ↓
(4.84) |
6.93 ↓
(9.54) |
8.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Real Santander?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Real Santander will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 4.
- Unión Magdalena is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Real Santander is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Unión Magdalena is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:18. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Real Santander?
Unión Magdalena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Santander won against Unión Magdalena?
Real Santander has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Real Santander were as follows:
29.05.2025
Real Santander
-
Unión Magdalena
0:2
01.09.2024
Unión Magdalena
-
Real Santander
4:0
16.03.2024
Real Santander
-
Unión Magdalena
2:0
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Latest results of Real Santander
Colombian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Palmira ✔ | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25:12 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | U. Magdalena ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 24:12 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Cartagena ✔ | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Quindio ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 5 | Envigado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Ind. Yumbo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Tigres | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bogota | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Atletico F.C | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
| 16 | Leones | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Palmira is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
U. Magdalena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Cartagena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Quindio is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
