Real Santander vs Unión Magdalena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Copa Real Santander - Unión Magdalena
Result
0:2
29/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1
Real Santander - Unión Magdalena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 82', 0 - 1, Mercado J. ,
  • 88', 0 - 2, Iguarán C. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mucdv2hc

Chances of winning


Real Santander
61.4%
Draw
25.7%
Unión Magdalena
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 34.4% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 32.5% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Santander's performance.
  • Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Magdalena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-25.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Santander that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Magdalena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Santander - Unión Magdalena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (2.69)
    3.66
    (2.68)
    7.23
    (2.96)
    7.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Real Santander - Unión Magdalena?
  • Users Predictions: Real Santander will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Santander will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 1.
    • Real Santander has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Unión Magdalena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Real Santander may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Santander is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Santander won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Santander - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Unión Magdalena - Real Santander 4:0
    16.03.2024 Real Santander - Unión Magdalena 2:0
    Latest results of Real Santander
    Latest results of Unión Magdalena
    Colombian Copa Table
    First stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga43109:5410
    2Quindio42116:517
    3Chico42025:506
    4Boca Juniors41033:4-13
    5Dep. Cali41033:7-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Envigado43108:4410
    2Alianza422010:558
    3Aguilas42023:7-46
    4Barranquilla41033:4-13
    5Orsomarso40133:7-41


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atletico F.C42205:328
    2Dep. Pasto42117:347
    3U. Magdalena41213:305
    4Llaneros41213:5-25
    5Real Santander40134:8-41


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pereira42207:258
    2Fortaleza42205:148
    3Bogota41122:6-44
    4Leones40314:5-13
    5La Equidad41033:7-43

          Promotion ~ Copa Colombia (Second stage: Quarter~finals)

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