Lugo vs Real Sociedad B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
417
Shots on target
38
Corner Kicks
412
Yellow Cards
61
Total shots
417
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
19
Corner Kicks
412
Goalkeeper Saves
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Hernandez R. ,
  • 42', Zoilo A. 🟨,
  • 45', Perero G. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Balda J. 🟨,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 62', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 64', Vidal D. 🟨,
  • 77', Ceberio J. , Reniero N. ,
  • 77', Cabo J. , Ochoa M. ,
  • 80', Lizancos A. 🟨,
  • 85', Zoilo A. , Sanchez M. ,
  • 85', Martinez R. , Pereira P. ,
  • 90', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
42.4%
Draw
30.3%
Real Sociedad B
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 29.8% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 28.7% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.
  • Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lugo - Real Sociedad B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.58)
    3.01
    (3.08)
    3.36
    (2.66)
    9.5%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Lugo will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.6:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Real Sociedad B were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Real Sociedad B - Lugo 1:0
    27.01.2024 Lugo - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    23.09.2023 Real Sociedad B - Lugo 1:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    13.04.2025 Real Unión de Irun - Lugo 3:0
    29.03.2025 Lugo - Ourense CF 0:2
    23.03.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 0:1
    19.03.2025 Celta de Vigo B - Lugo 1:2
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation