Lugo vs Real Sociedad B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
417
Shots on target
38
Corner Kicks
412
Yellow Cards
61
Total shots
417
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
19
Corner Kicks
412
Goalkeeper Saves
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Hernandez R. ,
  • 42', Zoilo A. 🟨,
  • 45', Perero G. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Balda J. 🟨,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 62', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 64', Vidal D. 🟨,
  • 77', Ceberio J. , Reniero N. ,
  • 77', Cabo J. , Ochoa M. ,
  • 80', Lizancos A. 🟨,
  • 85', Zoilo A. , Sanchez M. ,
  • 85', Martinez R. , Pereira P. ,
  • 90', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
42.4%
Draw
30.3%
Real Sociedad B
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 29.8% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 28.7% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.
  • Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lugo - Real Sociedad B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.58)
    3.01
    (3.08)
    3.36
    (2.66)
    9.5%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Lugo will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.6:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Real Sociedad B were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Real Sociedad B - Lugo 1:0
    27.01.2024 Lugo - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    23.09.2023 Real Sociedad B - Lugo 1:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    13.04.2025 Real Unión de Irun - Lugo 3:0
    29.03.2025 Lugo - Ourense CF 0:2
    23.03.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 0:1
    19.03.2025 Celta de Vigo B - Lugo 1:2
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife342010455:203570
    2Celta Vigo B341710756:431361
    3Zamora341510946:38855
    4Real Madrid B341581154:431153
    5Pontevedra341314743:261753
    6Ponferradina341491138:29951
    7Barakaldo341312944:341051
    8Unionistas3413101147:44349
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Arenas Getxo341451540:49-947
    11Lugo3411131032:37-546
    12Racing Club Ferrol341371438:43-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles341191449:56-742
    15Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    16CF Talavera34991633:43-1036
    17Guadalajara34991637:52-1536
    18Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    19Osasuna B34891724:39-1533
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation