Leioa vs Real Sociedad C – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Cabo I. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Gamiz M. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Pecina A. ,

Chances of winning


Leioa
44.7%
Draw
29.9%
Real Sociedad C
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 30.3% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 30.4% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Real Sociedad C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Leioa - Real Sociedad C Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.05)
    3.04
    (2.98)
    3.59
    (3.51)
    9.9%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • Leioa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Real Sociedad C has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leioa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leioa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Real Sociedad C were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Real Sociedad C - Leioa 0:1
    Latest results of Leioa
    17.01.2026 Pasaia - Leioa 1:3
    10.01.2026 Lagun Onak - Leioa 1:0
    04.01.2026 Leioa - Deusto 3:2
    20.12.2025 Portugalete - Leioa 0:1
    13.12.2025 Leioa - San Ignacio 0:0
    Latest results of Real Sociedad C
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete23192251:163559
    2Leioa23133734:231142
    3Lagun Onak23131936:221440
    4Touring KE23108528:181038
    5San Ignacio23114824:18637
    6Aurrera de Vitoria23114829:29037
    7Alaves C23106737:241336
    8Derio23113936:28836
    9Durango2389623:19433
    10UD Aretxabaleta2395938:39-132
    11Real Sociedad C231021126:28-232
    12Santurtzi2368923:31-826
    13Zamudio23741225:36-1125
    14Anorga23731323:42-1924
    15Eibar C23651225:38-1323
    16Pasaia23651215:29-1423
    17Zarautz KE23631420:40-2021
    18SD Deusto23451417:30-1317

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation