Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 18
  • Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15, SCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.22
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
83% (342/414)85% (429/506)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.231.35
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2426
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
83% (342/414)85% (429/506)
Long passes
36% (16/44)58% (35/60)
Passes in final third
76% (99/131)72% (68/94)
Crosses
4% (1/24)40% (8/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.07
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
1113
Tackles
57% (13/23)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5749
Clearances
1628
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.352.23
Goals prevented
0.351.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Guedes G. 🟨,
  • 44', Ruggeri M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Caleta-Car D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Barrios P. , Gallagher C. ,
  • 46', Ruggeri M. , Le Normand R. ,
  • 50', 0 - 1, Sorloth A. , Simeone G. (A),
  • 55', 1 - 1, Guedes G. , Kubo T. (A),
  • 60', Baena A. , Cardoso J. ,
  • 60', Alvarez J. , Griezmann A. ,
  • 72', Koke , Raspadori G. ,
  • 72', Guedes G. , Barrenetxea A. ,
  • 72', Turrientes B. , Marin P. ,
  • 75', Oyarzabal M. 🟨,
  • 78', Raspadori G. 🟨,
  • 88', Mendez B. , Oskarsson O. ,
  • 89', Kubo T. , Zakharyan A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5cs2awwm

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
24.7%
Draw
25.7%
Atlético Madrid
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 27.1% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6% 26.2% 48%

Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.87
(3.55)
3.69
(3.46)
1.93
(2.03)
4.7%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Atlético (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (62 of 74 users predict this - 83.78%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.38%92.18%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Atlético (votes: 27 - 96.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 0.
    • In recent matches, Real Sociedad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Atlético will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Beitia L. (Groin Injury) Gorrotxategi J. (Yellow Cards) Goti Lopez M. (Inactive) Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Karrikaburu J. (Inactive) Lebarbier A. (Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Gonzalez N. (Thigh Injury) Lenglet C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:0
    06.10.2024 Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid 1:1
    25.05.2024 Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    08.10.2023 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:1
    02.08.2023 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 0:0
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona22181360:233755
    2Real Madrid22173247:182954
    3Atl. Madrid22136338:172145
    4Villarreal21133539:231642
    5Betis2298536:28835
    6Espanyol22104826:27-134
    7Celta Vigo2289529:23633
    8Real Sociedad2277830:30028
    9Osasuna22751026:27-126
    10Alaves22741120:27-725
    11Ath Bilbao22741121:31-1025
    12Girona2267921:36-1525
    13Elche2259830:32-224
    14Mallorca22661028:34-624
    15Sevilla22731229:37-824
    16Valencia2258923:35-1223
    17Getafe22651116:27-1123
    18Rayo Vallecano22571018:30-1222
    19Levante21461124:34-1018
    20Oviedo22371212:34-2216

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2