Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 27
  • Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.280.41
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
247
Shots on target
93
Big chances
70
Corner kicks
81
Passes
82% (398/484)80% (369/463)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.280.41
xG on target (xGOT)
3.660.94
Total shots
247
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
122
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
204
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
70
Corner kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
5610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
106
Passes
82% (398/484)80% (369/463)
Long passes
31% (15/48)41% (27/66)
Passes in final third
78% (159/203)59% (67/113)
Crosses
29% (8/28)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.740.22
Throw ins
2218
Fouls
610
Tackles
52% (12/23)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5348
Clearances
2833
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.943.66
Goals prevented
-1.060.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Sorloth A. , Gimenez J. M. (A),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Soler C. , Sucic L. (A),
  • 20', Hancko D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Mendoza R. , Llorente M. ,
  • 49', Oskarsson O. 🟨,
  • 53', Simeone G. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 53', Lookman A. , Griezmann A. ,
  • 54', Almada T. , Gonzalez N. ,
  • 55', Marin P. , Guedes G. ,
  • 56', Oskarsson O. , Oyarzabal M. ,
  • 61', Koke , Cardoso J. ,
  • 65', Barrenetxea A. , Zakharyan A. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Gonzalez N. , Griezmann A. (A),
  • 68', 2 - 2, Oyarzabal M. ,
  • 74', Soler C. , Turrientes B. ,
  • 74', Sucic L. , Mendez B. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Gonzalez N. , Ruggeri M. (A),

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
58.4%
Draw
23.6%
Real Sociedad
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 20.7% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 20.2% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.
  • Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.47)
    4.07
    (4.57)
    5.33
    (6.28)
    4.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 35 - 94.6%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 1 - 2.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 87.3%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Atlético (2.07) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Real Sociedad (4.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Atlético (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Real Sociedad (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 3.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Real Sociedad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Kubo T. (Hamstring Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad were as follows:
    04.01.2026 Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid 1:1
    10.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:0
    06.10.2024 Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid 1:1
    25.05.2024 Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    08.10.2023 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona28231477:284970
    2Real Madrid28213460:243666
    3Atl. Madrid28176547:252257
    4Villarreal28174751:331855
    5Betis281111643:35844
    6Celta Vigo281011738:31741
    7Real Sociedad281081043:42138
    8Espanyol281071135:42-737
    9Getafe281051323:30-735
    10Ath Bilbao281051330:40-1035
    11Osasuna28971233:35-234
    12Girona288101031:43-1234
    13Rayo Vallecano287111028:34-632
    14Valencia28881230:42-1232
    15Sevilla28871337:47-1031
    16Mallorca28771433:45-1228
    17Alaves28771426:38-1228
    18Elche285111236:45-926
    19Levante28581530:46-1623
    20Oviedo28491518:44-2621

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2