Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Reale Arena (San Sebastian).

LaLiga - Round 18
Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV 22

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	1.22
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
83% (342/414)	85% (429/506)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	1.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.23	1.35
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
10	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
24	26
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
83% (342/414)	85% (429/506)
Long passes
36% (16/44)	58% (35/60)
Passes in final third
76% (99/131)	72% (68/94)
Crosses
4% (1/24)	40% (8/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	1.07
Throw-ins
17	18
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
57% (13/23)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
57	49
Clearances
16	28
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	3
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	7
xGOT faced
1.35	2.23
Goals prevented
0.35	1.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Guedes G. 🟨,
44', Ruggeri M. 🟨,
45+2', Caleta-Car D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barrios P. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
46', Ruggeri M. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Sorloth A. ⚽, Simeone G. (A),
55', 1 - 1, Guedes G. ⚽, Kubo T. (A),
60', Baena A. ↓, Cardoso J. ↑,
60', Alvarez J. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
72', Koke ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
72', Guedes G. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
72', Turrientes B. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
75', Oyarzabal M. 🟨,
78', Raspadori G. 🟨,
88', Mendez B. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
89', Kubo T. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5cs2awwm

Chances of winning

Real Sociedad
24.7%

Draw
25.7%

Atlético Madrid
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

27.1%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

26.2%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.55)	3.69 ↑ (3.46)	1.93 ↓ (2.03)	4.7% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Atlético (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (62 of 74 users predict this - 83.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.38% – 92.18%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Atlético (votes: 27 - 96.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 0.
In recent matches, Real Sociedad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Atlético will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Real Sociedad: Beitia L. (Groin Injury) Gorrotxategi J. (Yellow Cards) Goti Lopez M. (Inactive) Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Karrikaburu J. (Inactive) Lebarbier A. (Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Atlético: Gonzalez N. (Thigh Injury) Lenglet C. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Atlético Madrid?

Real Sociedad has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Real Sociedad?

Atlético Madrid has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid were as follows:

10.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:0

06.10.2024 Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid 1:1

25.05.2024 Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid 0:2

08.10.2023 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:1

02.08.2023 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 0:0

Latest results of Real Sociedad

20.12.2025 Levante - Real Sociedad 1:1 ✺

16.12.2025 Eldense - Real Sociedad 1:2 ✺

12.12.2025 Real Sociedad - Girona 1:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺

03.12.2025 Reus FC Reddis - Real Sociedad 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

21.12.2025 Girona - Atlético Madrid 0:3 ✺

17.12.2025 Atlético Baleares - Atlético Madrid 2:3 ✺

13.12.2025 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 2:1 ✺

09.12.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Atlético Madrid 2:3 ✺

06.12.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	25	20	1	4	67:25	42	61
2	Real Madrid	25	19	3	3	54:21	33	60
3	Villarreal	25	16	3	6	47:27	20	51
4	Atl. Madrid	25	14	6	5	42:23	19	48
5	Betis	25	11	9	5	40:30	10	42
6	Celta Vigo	25	9	10	6	34:27	7	37
7	Espanyol	25	10	5	10	31:37	-6	35
8	Ath Bilbao	25	10	4	11	29:35	-6	34
9	Osasuna	25	9	6	10	30:29	1	33
10	Real Sociedad	25	8	8	9	37:38	-1	32
11	Girona	25	7	9	9	26:40	-14	30
12	Sevilla	25	8	5	12	32:39	-7	29
13	Getafe	25	8	5	12	20:29	-9	29
14	Alaves	25	7	6	12	23:32	-9	27
15	Rayo Vallecano	24	6	8	10	22:31	-9	26
16	Valencia	25	6	8	11	26:39	-13	26
17	Elche	25	5	10	10	32:37	-5	25
18	Mallorca	25	6	6	13	29:41	-12	24
19	Levante	25	4	6	15	26:44	-18	18
20	Oviedo	24	3	8	13	16:39	-23	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2