Deportivo Alavés vs Real Sociedad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz).

: LaLiga - Round 33
Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	0.85
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
63% (177/279)	81% (385/475)
Yellow Cards
4	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	0.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.28	0.00
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
1	0
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
13	18
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
17	17
Passes
63% (177/279)	81% (385/475)
Long passes
41% (28/68)	48% (30/62)
Passes in final third
47% (50/106)	60% (62/103)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	0.49
Fouls
17	17
Tackles
58% (15/26)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
63	60
Clearances Total
26	31
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	0
xGOT faced
0.00	0.28
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Aramburu J. 🟨,
36', Vicente C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Joan Jordan ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
46', Martin C. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
47', Conechny T. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Tenaglia N. ⚽, Vicente C. (A),
66', Kubo T. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
66', Aramburu J. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
66', Mendez B. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
71', Guridi J. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
76', Marin P. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
76', Gomez S. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
78', Garcia K. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
80', Mariezkurrena A. 🟨,
90+1', Sivera A. 🟨,
90+1', Oskarsson O. 🟨,
90+2', Blanco A. 🟨,
90+2', Sucic L. 🟨,
90+5', Elustondo A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Deportivo Alavés
40.5%

Draw
31.5%

Real Sociedad
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

33%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.48)	3.04 ↑ (3.02)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)	3.9% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad?

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 15 - 36.6%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 18 - 43.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 19.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 28.7% – 59.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Alavés (votes: 4 - 50%). Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 100%).

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 1.
Recent matches Alavés is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Real Sociedad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Alavés: Abqar A. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Real Sociedad: Aguerd N. (Knee Injury) Barrenetxea A. (Ankle Injury) Odriozola A. (Injury) Zakharyan A. (Thigh Injury) Zubeldia I. (Groin Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Alavés won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16:26 (average 0.8:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Real Sociedad?

Deportivo Alavés has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Deportivo Alavés?

Real Sociedad has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad were as follows:

28.08.2024 Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés 1:2

20.07.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 1:1

31.03.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 0:1

02.01.2024 Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés 1:1

Latest results of Deportivo Alavés

20.04.2025 Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Girona - Deportivo Alavés 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano 0:2 ✺

14.03.2025 Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Real Sociedad

20.04.2025 Villarreal - Real Sociedad 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Real Sociedad - Mallorca 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Las Palmas - Real Sociedad 1:3 ✺

01.04.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:4 ✺

29.03.2025 Real Sociedad - Valladolid 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	ETB, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga TV Bar 3, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+