Result
2:3 penalties
18/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa del Rey - Final
- Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
Albania | SuperSport 3 |
Angola | Z Sports 2 |
Argentina | Dibox, DirecTV Sports, Flow Eventos |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN |
Belarus | Sport TV |
Bolivia | Unitel |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Colombia | Win play |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, DirecTV Sports, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Finland | Disney+, Veikkaus TV |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch |
Haiti | Tele Haiti |
Hungary | Selekt, Sport 1 |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Flow Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Disney+ |
Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
Peru | America TV GO, America TV, DirecTV Sports, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | 3Cat, ETB, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, RTVE Play, TV3, TV3, TVE La 1 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
United-kingdom | ITV 4, ITV X, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, Flow |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter, Meridiano, Venevision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (607/708) | 76% (315/416) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (607/708) | 76% (315/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/69) | 37% (33/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (189/228) | 57% (54/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/30) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 79 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Barrenetxea A. ⚽, Guedes G. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Lookman A. ⚽, Griezmann A. (A),
- 30', Oyarzabal M. 🟨,
- 33', Le Normand R. 🟨,
- 43', Musso J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Oyarzabal M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Lookman A. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
- 62', Ruggeri M. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
- 68', Turrientes B. ↓, Gorrotxategi J. ↑,
- 68', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
- 70', Simeone G. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
- 70', Griezmann A. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
- 78', Guedes G. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
- 78', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
- 78', Molina N. ↓, Cardoso J. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 2, Alvarez J. ⚽, Almada T. (A),
- 88', Gomez S. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 99', Llorente M. ↓, Lenglet C. ↑,
- 113', Aramburu J. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
- 120', Gorrotxategi J. 🟨,
- 120+1', Elustondo A. 🟨,
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, Sorloth A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Soler C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Alvarez J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Oskarsson O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Gonzalez N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Sucic L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Almada T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Munoz A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Baena A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Marin P. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Atlético Madrid 52% | Draw 25.6% | Real Sociedad 22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 ↑ (1.78) |
3.76 ↑ (3.61) |
4.29 ↓ (4.44) |
4% (6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Atlético (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- TQ, OT - Atlético (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlético Madrid will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Estadio de La Cartuja.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 3.
- Atlético is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Real Sociedad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Real Sociedad: Ochieng J.
(Muscle Injury)
Odriozola A.
(Knee Injury)
Ruperez I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Zubeldia I.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Real Sociedad?
Atlético Madrid has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Atlético Madrid?
Real Sociedad has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad were as follows:
07.03.2026
Atlético Madrid
-
Real Sociedad
3:2
04.01.2026
Real Sociedad
-
Atlético Madrid
1:1
10.05.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Real Sociedad
4:0
06.10.2024
Real Sociedad
-
Atlético Madrid
1:1
25.05.2024
Real Sociedad
-
Atlético Madrid
0:2
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
Latest results of Real Sociedad
Draw
2025/261/128-finals| 1 | Mutilvera | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Zaragoza | |
| 3 | Atl. Tordesillas | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Burgos CF | |
| 5 | Navalcarnero | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | AD Merida | |
| 7 | Inter de Valdemoro | Univ. Julio Suarez | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Getafe | |
| 9 | Atl. Astorga | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Mirandes | |
| 11 | Caudal Deportivo | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Gijon | |
| 13 | Puente Genil | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | FC Cartagena SAD | |
| 15 | Sporting Ceuta | Maracena | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Valencia | |
| 17 | Tropezon | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Cultural Leonesa | |
| 19 | Valle Egues | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Andorra | |
| 21 | Ciudad Cieza | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Cordoba | |
| 23 | Orihuela | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Levante | |
| 25 | Ourense CF | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Oviedo | |
| 27 | Constancia | Bye | |
| 28 | Bye | Girona | |
| 32 | Bye | Ath Bilbao | |
| 33 | Portugalete | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Valladolid | |
| 35 | Deportivo Getxo | Betis Valladolid | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Alaves | |
| 37 | CD Extremadura | Bye | |
| 38 | Bye | Las Palmas | |
| 39 | Toledo | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Sevilla | |
| 41 | RSD Alcala | Bye | |
| 42 | Bye | Tenerife | |
| 43 | Roda | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Granada CF | |
| 45 | Real Avila | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Real Aviles | |
| 47 | Campanario | CD Yuncos | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Rayo Vallecano | |
| 49 | Jaen | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Eldense | |
| 51 | Lorca Deportiva | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Almeria | |
| 53 | Reus FCR | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | CE Europa | |
| 55 | Textil Escudo | SD Negreira | 0 : 4, 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Real Sociedad | |
| 57 | Langreo | Bye | |
| 58 | Bye | Racing Club Ferrol | |
| 59 | Utebo FC | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Huesca | |
| 61 | Ebro | Bye | |
| 62 | Bye | Tarazona | |
| 63 | CD Sant Jordi | Lourdes | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Osasuna | |
| 65 | Azuaga | Bye | |
| 66 | Bye | Leganes | |
| 67 | San Fernando | Bye | |
| 68 | Bye | Albacete | |
| 69 | Sant Andreu | Bye | |
| 70 | Bye | Teruel | |
| 71 | Puerto de Vega | CCD Alberite | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 72 | Bye | Celta Vigo | |
| 73 | Rayo Majadahonda | Bye | |
| 74 | Bye | CF Talavera | |
| 75 | CD Estepona | Bye | |
| 76 | Bye | Malaga | |
| 80 | Bye | Real Madrid | |
| 81 | UD Logrones | Bye | |
| 82 | Bye | Ponferradina | |
| 83 | SD Logrones | Bye | |
| 84 | Bye | Racing Santander | |
| 85 | Antoniano | Bye | |
| 86 | Bye | Castellon | |
| 87 | Ciudad de Lucena | Bye | |
| 88 | Bye | Villarreal | |
| 89 | Guadalajara | Bye | |
| 90 | Bye | Cacereno | |
| 91 | La Union | Bye | |
| 92 | Bye | Ceuta | |
| 96 | Bye | Barcelona | |
| 97 | Murcia | Bye | |
| 98 | Bye | Antequera | |
| 99 | UCAM Murcia | Bye | |
| 100 | Bye | Cadiz CF | |
| 101 | Torrent | Bye | |
| 102 | Bye | Torremolinos | |
| 103 | Atletico Melilla | Palma del Rio | 0 : 5, 0 : 5 |
| 104 | Bye | Betis | |
| 105 | UD Ourense | Bye | |
| 106 | Bye | Pontevedra | |
| 107 | Naxara | Bye | |
| 108 | Bye | Eibar | |
| 109 | Quintanar del Rey | Bye | |
| 110 | Bye | UD Ibiza | |
| 111 | Manises | UD Los Garres | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 112 | Bye | Elche | |
| 113 | Poblense | Bye | |
| 114 | Bye | Sabadell | |
| 115 | UD Samano | Bye | |
| 116 | Bye | Dep. La Coruna | |
| 117 | Numancia | Bye | |
| 118 | Bye | Arenas Getxo | |
| 119 | Sant Just | Atletico Calatayud | 4 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 120 | Bye | Mallorca | |
| 121 | Baleares | Bye | |
| 122 | Bye | Gimnastic | |
| 123 | Atletic Lleida | Bye | |
| 124 | Bye | Espanyol | |
| 128 | Bye | Atl. Madrid | |
1/64-finals| 1 | Mutilvera | Zaragoza | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Atl. Tordesillas | Burgos CF | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Navalcarnero | AD Merida | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Inter de Valdemoro | Getafe | 0 : 11 |
| 5 | Atl. Astorga | Mirandes | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Caudal Deportivo | Gijon | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Puente Genil | FC Cartagena SAD | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Maracena | Valencia | 0 : 5 |
| 9 | Tropezon | Cultural Leonesa | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Valle Egues | Andorra | 1 : 5 |
| 11 | Ciudad Cieza | Cordoba | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Orihuela | Levante | 3 : 4 |
| 13 | Ourense CF | Oviedo | 4 : 2 |
| 14 | Constancia | Girona | 2 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Ath Bilbao | |
| 17 | Portugalete | Valladolid | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Deportivo Getxo | Alaves | 0 : 7 |
| 19 | CD Extremadura | Las Palmas | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Toledo | Sevilla | 1 : 4 |
| 21 | RSD Alcala | Tenerife | 0 : 4 |
| 22 | Roda | Granada CF | 1 : 5 |
| 23 | Real Avila | Real Aviles | 1 : 0 |
| 24 | CD Yuncos | Rayo Vallecano | 1 : 6 |
| 25 | Jaen | Eldense | 1 : 3 |
| 26 | Lorca Deportiva | Almeria | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Reus FCR | CE Europa | 3 : 2 |
| 28 | SD Negreira | Real Sociedad | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Langreo | Racing Club Ferrol | 0 : 1 |
| 30 | Utebo FC | Huesca | 0 : 3 |
| 31 | Ebro | Tarazona | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | CD Sant Jordi | Osasuna | 0 : 5 |
| 33 | Azuaga | Leganes | 1 : 4 |
| 34 | San Fernando | Albacete | 0 : 3 |
| 35 | Sant Andreu | Teruel | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Puerto de Vega | Celta Vigo | 0 : 2 |
| 37 | Rayo Majadahonda | CF Talavera | 1 : 4 |
| 38 | CD Estepona | Malaga | 1 : 3 |
| 40 | Bye | Real Madrid | |
| 41 | UD Logrones | Ponferradina | 1 : 3 |
| 42 | SD Logrones | Racing Santander | 0 : 4 |
| 43 | Antoniano | Castellon | 1 : 0 |
| 44 | Ciudad de Lucena | Villarreal | 0 : 6 |
| 45 | Guadalajara | Cacereno | 2 : 1 |
| 46 | La Union | Ceuta | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Barcelona | |
| 49 | Murcia | Antequera | 2 : 1 |
| 50 | UCAM Murcia | Cadiz CF | 1 : 3 |
| 51 | Torrent | Torremolinos | 3 : 1 |
| 52 | Palma del Rio | Betis | 1 : 7 |
| 53 | UD Ourense | Pontevedra | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Naxara | Eibar | 2 : 4 |
| 55 | Quintanar del Rey | UD Ibiza | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | UD Los Garres | Elche | 0 : 4 |
| 57 | Poblense | Sabadell | 1 : 2 |
| 58 | UD Samano | Dep. La Coruna | 1 : 5 |
| 59 | Numancia | Arenas Getxo | 3 : 0 |
| 60 | Sant Just | Mallorca | 0 : 2 |
| 61 | Baleares | Gimnastic | 2 : 0 |
| 62 | Atletic Lleida | Espanyol | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Atl. Madrid | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zaragoza | Burgos CF | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Navalcarnero | Getafe | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Mirandes | Gijon | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | FC Cartagena SAD | Valencia | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Cultural Leonesa | Andorra | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Ciudad Cieza | Levante | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Ourense CF | Girona | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Ath Bilbao | |
| 9 | Portugalete | Alaves | 0 : 3 |
| 10 | CD Extremadura | Sevilla | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Tenerife | Granada CF | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Real Avila | Rayo Vallecano | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Eldense | Almeria | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Reus FCR | Real Sociedad | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Racing Club Ferrol | Huesca | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Ebro | Osasuna | 3 : 5 |
| 17 | Leganes | Albacete | 1 : 2 |
| 18 | Sant Andreu | Celta Vigo | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | CF Talavera | Malaga | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Real Madrid | |
| 21 | Ponferradina | Racing Santander | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Antoniano | Villarreal | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Guadalajara | Ceuta | 1 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Barcelona | |
| 25 | Murcia | Cadiz CF | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Torrent | Betis | 1 : 4 |
| 27 | Pontevedra | Eibar | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Quintanar del Rey | Elche | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Sabadell | Dep. La Coruna | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Numancia | Mallorca | 2 : 3 |
| 31 | Baleares | Espanyol | 1 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Atl. Madrid | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Burgos CF | Getafe | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Gijon | Valencia | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cultural Leonesa | Levante | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Ourense CF | Ath Bilbao | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Alaves | Sevilla | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Granada CF | Rayo Vallecano | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Eldense | Real Sociedad | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Huesca | Osasuna | 2 : 4 |
| 9 | Albacete | Celta Vigo | 3 : 2 |
| 10 | CF Talavera | Real Madrid | 2 : 3 |
| 11 | Racing Santander | Villarreal | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | Barcelona | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Murcia | Betis | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Eibar | Elche | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Dep. La Coruna | Mallorca | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Baleares | Atl. Madrid | 2 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Burgos CF | Valencia | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Cultural Leonesa | Ath Bilbao | 3 : 4 |
| 3 | Alaves | Rayo Vallecano | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | Osasuna | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Albacete | Real Madrid | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Racing Santander | Barcelona | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Betis | Elche | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Dep. La Coruna | Atl. Madrid | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Albacete | Barcelona | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Betis | Atl. Madrid | 0 : 5 |
| 3 | Valencia | Ath Bilbao | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Alaves | Real Sociedad | 2 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Barcelona | Atl. Madrid | 3 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 2 | Ath Bilbao | Real Sociedad | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Atl. Madrid | Real Sociedad | 2 : 3 |