Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano
Result
0:1
05/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 8
  • Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
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usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.80
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
81% (340/421)79% (328/414)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.62
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
2113
Passes
81% (340/421)79% (328/414)
Long passes
63% (35/56)35% (26/74)
Passes in final third
69% (77/112)58% (43/74)
Crosses
0% (0/17)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.33
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
1321
Tackles
73% (8/11)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6037
Clearances
1127
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.621.02
Goals prevented
-0.381.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Garcia A. , Perez F. ,
  • 60', Soler C. 🟨,
  • 61', Soler C. , Kubo T. ,
  • 61', Guedes G. , Sucic L. ,
  • 62', Palazon I. 🟨,
  • 65', Palazon I. , Diaz P. ,
  • 71', Ciss P. , Vertrouwd J. ,
  • 77', Alemao , Pacha ,
  • 77', de Frutos J. , Nteka R. ,
  • 80', Barrenetxea A. , Karrikaburu J. ,
  • 80', Mendez B. , Marin P. ,
  • 84', 0 - 1, Pacha , Ratiu A. (A),
  • 90+2', Lejeune F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
45.1%
Draw
27.9%
Rayo Vallecano
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 27.7% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.3% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.12)
    3.43
    (3.42)
    3.54
    (3.42)
    4.5%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.5%68.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Real Sociedad could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Elustondo A. (Contusion) Martin J. (International duty) Oskarsson O. (Thigh Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Red Card) Luiz Felipe (Muscle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    16.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 3:1
    18.08.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 1:2
    27.01.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:0
    29.10.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad 2:2
    22.04.2023 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    28.09.2025 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 2:1
    24.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Mallorca 1:0
    19.09.2025 Betis - Real Sociedad 3:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid980120:91124
    2Barcelona971124:101422
    3Espanyol1053214:11318
    4Villarreal952216:10617
    5Atl. Madrid944116:10616
    6Betis944115:10516
    7Elche1035211:10114
    8Ath Bilbao104249:10-114
    9Getafe1042410:12-214
    10Sevilla1041517:16113
    11Alaves93339:8112
    12Rayo Vallecano932411:10111
    13Osasuna93157:9-210
    14Real Sociedad1023510:14-49
    15Valencia923410:14-49
    16Levante922513:17-48
    17Mallorca922510:14-48
    18Celta Vigo90728:11-37
    19R. Oviedo102177:19-127
    20Girona101459:22-137

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2