Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano
05/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 8
  • Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN 3, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
44.8%
Draw
27.9%
Rayo Vallecano
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 27.7% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.3% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.12)
    3.41
    (3.42)
    3.53
    (3.42)
    4.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Real Sociedad could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Elustondo A. (Contusion) Martin J. (International duty) Oskarsson O. (Thigh Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Red Card) Luiz Felipe (Muscle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    16.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 3:1
    18.08.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 1:2
    27.01.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:0
    29.10.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad 2:2
    22.04.2023 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    28.09.2025 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 2:1
    24.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Mallorca 1:0
    19.09.2025 Betis - Real Sociedad 3:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid870119:91021
    2Barcelona761021:51619
    3Villarreal851214:8616
    4Elche734010:6413
    5Ath Bilbao84139:9013
    6Atl. Madrid733114:9512
    7Betis733111:7412
    8Espanyol733110:9112
    9Getafe83239:11-211
    10Sevilla731311:10110
    11Osasuna83147:8-110
    12Levante822413:14-18
    13Alaves72236:7-18
    14Valencia822410:14-48
    15R. Oviedo82064:14-106
    16Girona81345:17-126
    17Rayo Vallecano71247:10-35
    18Celta Vigo70526:9-35
    19Real Sociedad71247:11-45
    20Mallorca81257:13-65

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2