Real Sociedad vs Villarreal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
30/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 14
  • Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoCanal 5, Sky Sport, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.64
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
86% (454/529)78% (276/355)
Yellow Cards
37
Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.511.33
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2023
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
86% (454/529)78% (276/355)
Long passes
56% (24/43)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
66% (83/125)66% (59/89)
Crosses
14% (3/21)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.99
Throw-ins
2817
Fouls
1518
Tackles
43% (6/14)70% (16/23)
Duels won
4555
Clearances
1936
Interceptions
1214
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.331.51
Goals prevented
-1.67-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Gueye P. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Perez A. , Pedraza A. (A),
  • 42', Sadiq U. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', Moleiro A. 🟨,
  • 56', Sadiq U. , Barrenetxea A. ,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Moleiro A. , Perez A. (A),
  • 61', 1 - 2, Soler C. , Kubo T. (A),
  • 67', Pedraza A. 🟨,
  • 69', Moreno G. , Mikautadze G. ,
  • 69', Gueye P. , Parejo D. ,
  • 69', Martin J. 🟨,
  • 70', Barrenetxea A. 🟨,
  • 73', Mourino S. 🟨,
  • 74', Luiz Junior 🟨,
  • 77', Soler C. , Zakharyan A. ,
  • 77', Guedes G. , Carrera G. ,
  • 78', Pedraza A. , Cardona S. ,
  • 78', Buchanan T. , Akhomach I. ,
  • 85', Mendez B. , Goti Lopez M. ,
  • 85', Kubo T. , Turrientes B. ,
  • 86', Perez A. , Oluwaseyi T. ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Barrenetxea A. ,
  • 90', Foyth J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Moleiro A. ,

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
34.3%
Draw
28.2%
Villarreal
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 26.9% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 27.6% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Real Sociedad - Villarreal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.57)
    3.41
    (3.53)
    2.57
    (2.62)
    3.7%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Villarreal?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%). Villarreal will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 28.5%62.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Villarreal (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Villarreal (1.74) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - Villarreal (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Real Sociedad (1.99) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Villarreal (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 2.
    • Real Sociedad has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Villarreal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Villarreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Karrikaburu J. (Calf Injury) Oskarsson O. (Hamstring Injury) Oyarzabal M. (Muscle Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Villarreal were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Villarreal - Real Sociedad 2:2
    13.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Villarreal 1:0
    23.02.2024 Real Sociedad - Villarreal 1:3
    09.12.2023 Villarreal - Real Sociedad 0:3
    02.04.2023 Villarreal - Real Sociedad 2:0
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    22.11.2025 Osasuna - Real Sociedad 1:3
    07.11.2025 Elche - Real Sociedad 1:1
    28.10.2025 Negreira - Real Sociedad 0:3
    24.10.2025 Real Sociedad - Sevilla 2:1
    Latest results of Villarreal
    22.11.2025 Villarreal - Mallorca 2:1
    08.11.2025 Espanyol - Villarreal 0:2
    05.11.2025 Paphos - Villarreal 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona25201467:254261
    2Real Madrid25193354:213360
    3Villarreal25163647:272051
    4Atl. Madrid25146542:231948
    5Betis25119540:301042
    6Celta Vigo25910634:27737
    7Espanyol251051031:37-635
    8Ath Bilbao251041129:35-634
    9Osasuna25961030:29133
    10Real Sociedad2588937:38-132
    11Girona2579926:40-1430
    12Sevilla25851232:39-729
    13Getafe25851220:29-929
    14Alaves25761223:32-927
    15Rayo Vallecano24681022:31-926
    16Valencia25681126:39-1326
    17Elche255101032:37-525
    18Mallorca25661329:41-1224
    19Levante25461526:44-1818
    20Oviedo24381316:39-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2