Recanatese vs L Aquila – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F Recanatese - L Aquila
Result
0:2
19/01/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 20

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Banegas P. E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 2, Belloni N. ,
  • 62', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Recanatese
22.1%
Draw
26.7%
L Aquila
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 28.3% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1% 29.3% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • L Aquila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting L Aquila's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for L Aquila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Recanatese - L Aquila Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.1
    (3.3)
    3.4
    (3.15)
    1.77
    (2)
    10.3%
    (12%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Recently L Aquila have a series of guest games.
    • L Aquila will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    Latest results of Recanatese
    05.01.2025 Fermana - Recanatese 0:1
    21.12.2024 Termoli - Recanatese 0:1
    15.12.2024 Recanatese - Civitanovese 1:0
    24.11.2024 Teramo - Recanatese 0:0
    Latest results of L Aquila
    12.01.2025 L Aquila - Termoli 2:0
    05.01.2025 Civitanovese - L Aquila 0:0
    22.12.2024 Teramo - L Aquila 0:2
    08.12.2024 Chieti - L Aquila 0:1
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1