Athletico Paranaense vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino
Result
1:2
05/12/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 37
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Furacão Play, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol
peruPeruL1 Max
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
spainSpainGol Stadium
worldWorldEl Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.83
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
2213
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
67
Blocked Shots
92
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
147
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Free Kicks
1514
Offsides
01
Fouls
1415
Yellow Cards
14
Throw-ins
2119
Touches in the Opposition Box
2420
Passes
77% (293/383)77% (255/333)
Passes in the final third
68% (101/148)59% (48/81)
Crosses
20% (7/35)29% (4/14)
Tackles
56% (9/16)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
2232
Interceptions
511

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Eduardo Sasha , Hurtado A. (A),
  • 34', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
  • 45+1', Matheus Fernandes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Matheus Fernandes , Jadsom Silva ,
  • 55', Nikao , Canobbio A. ,
  • 55', Pablo , Emersonn ,
  • 56', Godoy L. , Fernandinho ,
  • 63', Christian , Zapelli B. ,
  • 66', Vinicinho , Raul ,
  • 67', Juninho Capixaba , Luan Candido ,
  • 71', Hurtado A. , Douglas Mendes ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Erick , Zapelli B. (A),
  • 82', 1 - 2, Eduardo Sasha , Jadsom Silva (A),
  • 83', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
  • 85', Lincoln , Guilherme Lopes ,
  • 85', Felipinho , Di Yorio L. ,
  • 89', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 90+2', Jadsom Silva 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
45%
Draw
29.1%
Red Bull Bragantino
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 27.2% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 26.8% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.95)
    3.27
    (3.46)
    3.64
    (3.85)
    5.4%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Athletico PR will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Gonzalo Mastriani (Knee Injury) Kaique Rocha (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Borbas T. (Thigh Injury) Nathan Camargo (Knee Injury) Nathan Mendes (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Madson (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eric Ramires (Injury) Gustavinho (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    07.08.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense 2:3
    31.07.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino 2:0
    21.07.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense 1:0
    08.10.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino 1:1
    20.05.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense 2:0
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1783620:20027
    7Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    8Fluminense1672718:20-223
    9Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    10Ceara1663716:16021
    11Internacional1656517:20-321
    12Corinthians1756616:20-421
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

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