Athletico Paranaense vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino
Result
1:2
05/12/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 37
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Furacão Play, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol
peruPeruL1 Max
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
spainSpainGol Stadium
worldWorldEl Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.83
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
2213
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
67
Blocked Shots
92
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
147
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Free Kicks
1514
Offsides
01
Fouls
1415
Yellow Cards
14
Throw-ins
2119
Touches in the Opposition Box
2420
Passes
77% (293/383)77% (255/333)
Passes in the final third
68% (101/148)59% (48/81)
Crosses
20% (7/35)29% (4/14)
Tackles
56% (9/16)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
2232
Interceptions
511

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Eduardo Sasha , Hurtado A. (A),
  • 34', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
  • 45+1', Matheus Fernandes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Matheus Fernandes , Jadsom Silva ,
  • 55', Nikao , Canobbio A. ,
  • 55', Pablo , Emersonn ,
  • 56', Godoy L. , Fernandinho ,
  • 63', Christian , Zapelli B. ,
  • 66', Vinicinho , Raul ,
  • 67', Juninho Capixaba , Luan Candido ,
  • 71', Hurtado A. , Douglas Mendes ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Erick , Zapelli B. (A),
  • 82', 1 - 2, Eduardo Sasha , Jadsom Silva (A),
  • 83', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
  • 85', Lincoln , Guilherme Lopes ,
  • 85', Felipinho , Di Yorio L. ,
  • 89', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 90+2', Jadsom Silva 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
45%
Draw
29.1%
Red Bull Bragantino
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 27.2% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 26.8% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.95)
    3.27
    (3.46)
    3.64
    (3.85)
    5.4%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Athletico PR will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Gonzalo Mastriani (Knee Injury) Kaique Rocha (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Borbas T. (Thigh Injury) Nathan Camargo (Knee Injury) Nathan Mendes (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Madson (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eric Ramires (Injury) Gustavinho (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    07.08.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense 2:3
    31.07.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino 2:0
    21.07.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense 1:0
    08.10.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino 1:1
    20.05.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense 2:0
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia29147840:32849
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Vasco291161246:41539
    9Corinthians301091132:35-339
    10Sao Paulo291081131:33-238
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

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