Result
1:1
25/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes, Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (181/249) | 85% (322/380) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (181/249) | 85% (322/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (20/49) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (38/64) | 79% (125/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Fabinho 🟨,
- 29', Zapelli B. 🟨,
- 43', Arthur Dias 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Juninho Capixaba ⚽,
- 45+4', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mendoza S. ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 46', Aguirre F. ↓, Chiqueti ↑,
- 49', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 51', Fabinho 🟨,
- 55', Pitta I. ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 65', Portilla J. ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 65', Zapelli B. ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 67', Gustavo Neves ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Julimar ⚽, Benavidez G. (A),
- 81', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Fernando Santos ↑,
- 81', Hurtado A. ↓, Eduardo Santos ↑,
- 81', Mosquera H. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 87', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
- 90+4', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Leozinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
48.4% | Draw
28.5% | Athletico Paranaense
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2) |
3.34 ↓
(3.38) |
4.15 ↑
(3.68) |
5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Athletico PR (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Red Bull Bragantino will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Bragantino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 3 - 75%). Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, RB Bragantino is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabricio
(Inactive)
Gabriel
(Yellow Cards)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguinho
(Injury)
Vanderlan
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Garcia Castillo A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Renan Viana
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Athletico Paranaense?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
05.12.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:2
07.08.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:3
31.07.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:0
21.07.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:0
08.10.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:1
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
