Result
1:2
05/12/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 37
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Furacão Play, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Gol Stadium |
 World | El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (293/383) | 77% (255/333) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 68% (101/148) | 59% (48/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (7/35) | 29% (4/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 60% (9/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Eduardo Sasha ⚽, Hurtado A. (A),
- 34', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 45+1', Matheus Fernandes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Jadsom Silva ↑,
- 55', Nikao ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
- 55', Pablo ↓, Emersonn ↑,
- 56', Godoy L. ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 63', Christian ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 66', Vinicinho ↓, Raul ↑,
- 67', Juninho Capixaba ↓, Luan Candido ↑,
- 71', Hurtado A. ↓, Douglas Mendes ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Erick ⚽, Zapelli B. (A),
- 82', 1 - 2, Eduardo Sasha ⚽, Jadsom Silva (A),
- 83', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
- 85', Lincoln ↓, Guilherme Lopes ↑,
- 85', Felipinho ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 89', Fernandinho 🟨,
- 90+2', Jadsom Silva 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
45% | Draw
29.1% | Red Bull Bragantino
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.95) |
3.27 ↓
(3.46) |
3.64 ↓
(3.85) |
5.4%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
Athletico Paranaense will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Athletico PR will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Gonzalo Mastriani
(Knee Injury)
Kaique Rocha
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Borbas T.
(Thigh Injury)
Nathan Camargo
(Knee Injury)
Nathan Mendes
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Madson
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eric Ramires
(Injury)
Gustavinho
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Athletico Paranaense?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
07.08.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:3
31.07.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:0
21.07.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:0
08.10.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:1
20.05.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:0
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
