Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (279/347) | 86% (384/446) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (279/347) | 86% (384/446) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (34/56) | 47% (16/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (58/92) | 66% (61/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Aylon ⚽, Galeano A. (A),
- 45+1', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Gabriel 🟨,
- 59', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
- 66', Lourenco ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 66', Aylon ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 66', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
- 71', Richardson ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 74', Lucas Mugni 🟨,
- 75', Eric Ramires ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
- 75', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 82', Nicolas 🟨,
- 85', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
- 87', Praxedes ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 89', Diego ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 89', Nicolas ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ceará
43% | Draw
30.7% | Red Bull Bragantino
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceará - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.31) |
3.11 ↑
(3.1) |
3.6 ↑
(3.29) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 57.6% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ceará will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 0.
- Ceará has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- RB Bragantino has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ceará could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Muscle Injury)
Rodriguinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Fernando
(Calf Injury)
Hurtado A.
(Knock)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Fernandes
(Calf Injury)
Mosquera H.
(Muscle Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
Vinicinho
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Pedro Henrique
(Illness)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Ceará?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
31.03.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Ceará
2:2
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Vasco | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 27 |
| 14 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
