Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 0.25 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
80% (279/347) | 86% (384/446) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 0.25 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.14 | 0.48 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 23 |
Passes |
---|
80% (279/347) | 86% (384/446) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (34/56) | 47% (16/34) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (58/92) | 66% (61/93) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (3/16) | 10% (2/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.52 | 0.40 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
23 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (8/14) | 44% (4/9) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.48 | 1.14 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.48 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Aylon ⚽, Galeano A. (A),
- 45+1', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Gabriel 🟨,
- 59', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
- 66', Lourenco ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 66', Aylon ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 66', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
- 71', Richardson ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 74', Lucas Mugni 🟨,
- 75', Eric Ramires ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
- 75', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 82', Nicolas 🟨,
- 85', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
- 87', Praxedes ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 89', Diego ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 89', Nicolas ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ceará 43% | Draw 30.7% | Red Bull Bragantino 26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceará - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↓ (2.31) |
3.11 ↑ (3.1) |
3.6 ↑ (3.29) |
5.5% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 57.6% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ceará will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 0.
- Ceará has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- RB Bragantino has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ceará could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Muscle Injury)
Rodriguinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Fernando
(Calf Injury)
Hurtado A.
(Knock)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Fernandes
(Calf Injury)
Mosquera H.
(Muscle Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
Vinicinho
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Pedro Henrique
(Illness)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Ceará?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
31.03.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Ceará
2:2
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet