Result
5:1
15/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 28
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (452/512) | 82% (255/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.75 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (452/512) | 82% (255/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (49/72) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (137/173) | 67% (45/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 4.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', Borbas T. 🟨,
- 20', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Jhon Jhon (Pen),
- 45', Gabriel 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Bruno Fuchs ⚽, Mauricio (A),
- 45+9', Murilo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 58', 2 - 1, Vitor Roque ⚽,
- 59', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 60', Bruno Fuchs ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 61', Pereira A. 🟨,
- 64', Raphael Veiga ↓, Allan ↑,
- 68', Borbas T. ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 68', Juninho Capixaba ↓, Praxedes ↑,
- 72', Rodriguez G. ↓, Alix Vinicius ↑,
- 73', Gabriel ↓, Eduardo Sasha ↑,
- 73', 3 - 1, Felipe Anderson ⚽, Allan (A),
- 75', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
- 78', Felipe Anderson ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 78', Mauricio ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 78', Pereira A. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽,
- 89', 5 - 1, Vitor Roque ⚽, Allan (A),
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
67.4% | Draw
19.9% | Red Bull Bragantino
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.4) |
4.77 ↑
(4.48) |
7.72 ↓
(7.95) |
5.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 27 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 79.3% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.
- Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- RB Bragantino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Khellven
(Foot Injury)
Lopez J.
(International duty)
Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Moreno A.
(International duty)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Torres F.
(International duty)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Eduardo Sasha
(Injury)
Nathan Mendes
(Yellow Cards)
Pitta I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
- We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Palmeiras has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Palmeiras?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
18.05.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Palmeiras
1:2
28.01.2025
Palmeiras
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:0
05.10.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Palmeiras
0:0
20.06.2024
Palmeiras
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
31.01.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Palmeiras
0:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Bahia | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 41 |
| 8 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27:27 | 0 | 35 |
| 14 | Internacional | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35:42 | -7 | 35 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
