Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Red Bull Bragantino - Santos
Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 25
  • Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
israelIsraelSport 2
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.20
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
76% (258/338)87% (435/502)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.791.94
Total shots
818
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1321
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
76% (258/338)87% (435/502)
Long passes
46% (26/56)64% (49/77)
Passes in final third
50% (44/88)72% (96/134)
Crosses
50% (7/14)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.84
Throw-ins
2624
Fouls
1011
Tackles
77% (10/13)53% (10/19)
Duels won
3748
Clearances
2930
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.940.79
Goals prevented
-0.06-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Souza 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Lucas Barbosa , Eduardo Sasha (A),
  • 37', Eduardo Sasha , Borbas T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Diaz L. , Souza (A),
  • 57', Gabriel , Fabinho ,
  • 57', Eric Ramires , Matheus Fernandes ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Barreal A. , Diaz L. (A),
  • 66', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
  • 67', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
  • 68', Lucas Barbosa , Vinicinho ,
  • 68', Laquintana I. , Fernando ,
  • 70', Rollheiser B. , Brahimi B. ,
  • 73', Mayke 🟨,
  • 75', Diaz L. , Tiquinho Soares ,
  • 75', Barreal A. , Caballero G. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Pedro Henrique , Jhon Jhon (A),
  • 82', Souza , Igor Vinicius ,
  • 90+2', Fabinho 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Red Bull Bragantino
41.8%
Draw
30.5%
Santos
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.8% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 28.5% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Red Bull Bragantino - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.1)
    3.14
    (3.25)
    3.43
    (3.5)
    4.7%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Santos?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Santos will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3.
    • RB Bragantino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Santos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • RB Bragantino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes (Knee Injury) Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Pitta I. (Hamstring Injury) Praxedes (Thigh Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Knock)
    • There will not play in Santos: Arao W. (Muscle Injury) Gabriel Bontempo (Ankle Injury) Neymar (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Gabriel (Injury) Juninho Capixaba (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Santos were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Santos - Red Bull Bragantino 1:2
    02.03.2025 Santos - Red Bull Bragantino 2:0
    27.03.2024 Santos - Red Bull Bragantino 3:1
    03.03.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Santos 1:0
    19.10.2023 Santos - Red Bull Bragantino 1:3
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Latest results of Santos
    21.09.2025 Santos - São Paulo 1:0
    14.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Santos 1:1
    31.08.2025 Santos - Fluminense 0:0
    24.08.2025 Bahia - Santos 2:0
    17.08.2025 Santos - Vasco da Gama 0:6
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Gremio27891028:33-533
    11Internacional26881032:38-632
    12Ceara25871023:24-131
    13Vasco26861238:38030
    14Corinthians26791026:32-630
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet