Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 25
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (258/338) | 87% (435/502) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (258/338) | 87% (435/502) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 64% (49/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (44/88) | 72% (96/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Souza 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Lucas Barbosa ⚽, Eduardo Sasha (A),
- 37', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 1 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Souza (A),
- 57', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 57', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Barreal A. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
- 66', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
- 67', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
- 68', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 68', Laquintana I. ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 70', Rollheiser B. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 73', Mayke 🟨,
- 75', Diaz L. ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 75', Barreal A. ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Pedro Henrique ⚽, Jhon Jhon (A),
- 82', Souza ↓, Igor Vinicius ↑,
- 90+2', Fabinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
41.8% | Draw
30.5% | Santos
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.1) |
3.14 ↓
(3.25) |
3.43 ↓
(3.5) |
4.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Santos?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Santos will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3.
- RB Bragantino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Santos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- RB Bragantino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Pitta I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Praxedes
(Thigh Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Santos: Arao W.
(Muscle Injury)
Gabriel Bontempo
(Ankle Injury)
Neymar
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Gabriel
(Injury)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Santos?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Santos has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Santos were as follows:
27.04.2025
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:2
02.03.2025
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:0
27.03.2024
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
3:1
03.03.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Santos
1:0
19.10.2023
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:3
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
