Result
1:2
27/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (317/386) | 83% (277/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (317/386) | 83% (277/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 46% (17/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (69/102) | 69% (53/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Hurtado A. 🟨,
- 28', Diego Pituca 🟨,
- 31', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 31', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 61', Vinicinho 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 1, Eduardo Sasha ⚽, Vinicinho (A),
- 68', Gabriel Veron ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 68', Luisao ↓, Aderlan ↑,
- 69', Vinicinho ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
- 69', Hurtado A. ↓, Sant'Anna A. ↑,
- 76', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 76', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 78', Diego Pituca ↓, Hyan ↑,
- 78', Guilherme ↓, Mateus Xavier ↑,
- 79', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
- 83', 0 - 2, Laquintana I. ⚽, Fabinho (A),
- 84', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 88', Rollheiser B. ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
- 90+1', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Deivid Washington ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santos
44.5% | Draw
29.6% | Red Bull Bragantino
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Bragantino's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+16.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santos - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.71) |
3.23 ↓
(3.37) |
3.7 ↓
(5.64) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 2.
- Santos is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- RB Bragantino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Santos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Santos will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Santos: Aderlan
(Knee Injury)
Neymar
(Hamstring Injury)
Soteldo Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Souza
(Ankle Injury)
Ze Rafael
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Nathan Mendes
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Fernando
(Tendon Injury)
Gabriel
(Injury)
Lucas Barbosa
(Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Santos won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:18 (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Santos has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Santos?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
02.03.2025
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:0
27.03.2024
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
3:1
03.03.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Santos
1:0
19.10.2023
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:3
28.05.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Santos
2:0
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
