Santos vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Santos - Red Bull Bragantino
Result
1:2
27/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 6
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.43
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
610
Passes
82% (317/386)83% (277/333)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.481.53
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
610
Touches in opposition box
2526
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
82% (317/386)83% (277/333)
Long passes
56% (24/43)46% (17/37)
Passes in final third
68% (69/102)69% (53/77)
Crosses
38% (10/26)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.911.00
Throw-ins
2416
Fouls
1315
Tackles
55% (11/20)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6040
Clearances
1928
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.530.48
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Hurtado A. 🟨,
  • 28', Diego Pituca 🟨,
  • 31', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
  • 31', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 61', Vinicinho 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Eduardo Sasha , Vinicinho (A),
  • 68', Gabriel Veron , Deivid Washington ,
  • 68', Luisao , Aderlan ,
  • 69', Vinicinho , Laquintana I. ,
  • 69', Hurtado A. , Sant'Anna A. ,
  • 76', Eduardo Sasha , Pitta I. ,
  • 76', Gabriel , Fabinho ,
  • 78', Diego Pituca , Hyan ,
  • 78', Guilherme , Mateus Xavier ,
  • 79', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
  • 83', 0 - 2, Laquintana I. , Fabinho (A),
  • 84', Eric Ramires , Matheus Fernandes ,
  • 88', Rollheiser B. , Luca Meirelles ,
  • 90+1', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Deivid Washington ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santos
44.5%
Draw
29.6%
Red Bull Bragantino
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 28% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 30.7% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.
  • Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Bragantino's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santos - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.71)
    3.23
    (3.37)
    3.7
    (5.64)
    4.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Santos - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 2.
    • Santos is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • RB Bragantino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Santos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Santos will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Knee Injury) Neymar (Hamstring Injury) Soteldo Y. (Muscle Injury) Souza (Ankle Injury) Ze Rafael (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Nathan Mendes (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Fernando (Tendon Injury) Gabriel (Injury) Lucas Barbosa (Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Santos won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:18 (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Santos - Red Bull Bragantino 2:0
    27.03.2024 Santos - Red Bull Bragantino 3:1
    03.03.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Santos 1:0
    19.10.2023 Santos - Red Bull Bragantino 1:3
    28.05.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Santos 2:0
    Latest results of Santos
    20.04.2025 São Paulo - Santos 2:1
    16.04.2025 Santos - Atlético Mineiro 2:0
    13.04.2025 Fluminense - Santos 1:0
    06.04.2025 Santos - Bahia 2:2
    30.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Santos 2:1
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet