Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 25
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 1.20 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
76% (258/338) | 87% (435/502) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 1.20 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.79 | 1.94 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
76% (258/338) | 87% (435/502) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (26/56) | 64% (49/77) |
Passes in final third |
---|
50% (44/88) | 72% (96/134) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (7/14) | 36% (10/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.42 | 0.84 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
77% (10/13) | 53% (10/19) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.94 | 0.79 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.06 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Souza 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Lucas Barbosa ⚽, Eduardo Sasha (A),
- 37', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 1 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Souza (A),
- 57', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 57', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Barreal A. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
- 66', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
- 67', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
- 68', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 68', Laquintana I. ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 70', Rollheiser B. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 73', Mayke 🟨,
- 75', Diaz L. ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 75', Barreal A. ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Pedro Henrique ⚽, Jhon Jhon (A),
- 82', Souza ↓, Igor Vinicius ↑,
- 90+2', Fabinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino 41.8% | Draw 30.5% | Santos 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↑ (2.1) |
3.14 ↓ (3.25) |
3.43 ↓ (3.5) |
4.7% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Santos?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Santos will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3.
- RB Bragantino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Santos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- RB Bragantino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Pitta I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Praxedes
(Thigh Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Santos: Arao W.
(Muscle Injury)
Gabriel Bontempo
(Ankle Injury)
Neymar
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Gabriel
(Injury)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Santos?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Santos has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Santos were as follows:
27.04.2025
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:2
02.03.2025
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:0
27.03.2024
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
3:1
03.03.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Santos
1:0
19.10.2023
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:3
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet