Result
2:1
04/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Round 3
- Referee: Vikman K. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 4.76% (1/21) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.24% (20/21) | 90% (18/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 100% (5/5) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 38 | 16 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 70.37 | 29.63 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 00:37, Corcoran C. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 06:01, Teuho-Markkola T. (2 min),
- 08:43, 1 - 0, Henman L. (G), Teuho-Markkola T. (A),
- 15:23, 1 - 1, Stephens D. (G), Eliseev M. (A), Auer L. C. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 09:37, 2 - 1, Ratinen S. (G), Looke J. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
- 09:37, Mantykivi M. (2 min),
- 09:37, Kucerik R. (2 min),
- 09:37, Pelli A. (2 min),
- 09:37, Looke J. (2 min),
- 09:37, Raffl T. (2 min),
- 09:37, Lewington T. (2 min),
- 09:37, Stephens D. (2 min),
- 09:37, Auer L. C. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ilves
59.3% | Draw
18.8% | Red Bull Salzburg
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.45) |
4.98 ↓
(5.11) |
4.23 ↓
(5.29) |
6.9%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Red Bull Salzburg will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Bull Salzburg: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Salzburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Red Bull Salzburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ilves has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Red Bull Salzburg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ilves is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Ilves has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Ilves?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg were as follows:
11.09.2022
Ilves
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:2
03.09.2022
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Ilves
2:3
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Champions League Ice Hockey Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:6 | 12 | 3.00 |
| 2 | KalPa ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:6 | 11 | 2.75 |
| 3 | Frolunda | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 9 | 2.25 |
| 4 | Brynas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 9 | 2.25 |
| 5 | Zug | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:13 | 8 | 2.00 |
| 6 | Sparta Prague | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 8 | 2.00 |
| 7 | Lulea | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10:9 | 8 | 2.00 |
| 8 | Lukko | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15:10 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 9 | Kometa Brno | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17:14 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 10 | Zurich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 11 | Bern | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11:10 | 7 | 1.75 |
| 12 | ERC Ingolstadt | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:11 | 6 | 1.50 |
| 13 | Salzburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | 6 | 1.50 |
| 14 | Klagenfurt | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:13 | 6 | 1.50 |
| 15 | Mountfield HK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10:11 | 6 | 1.50 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:16 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 17 | Bolzano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:15 | 5 | 1.25 |
| 18 | Eisbaren Berlin | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11:14 | 4 | 1.00 |
| 19 | Bremerhaven | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13:15 | 4 | 1.00 |
| 20 | Lausanne | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:15 | 3 | 0.75 |
| 21 | Storhamar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:14 | 3 | 0.75 |
| 22 | Odense Bulldogs | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:18 | 2 | 0.50 |
| 23 | Belfast | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12:23 | 1 | 0.25 |
| 24 | Tychy | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:13 | 0 | 0.00 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ilves is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
KalPa is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
