Result
2:1
14/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.64 | 0.58 |
Ball Possession |
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47% | 53% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 6 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 12 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 18 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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18 | 17 |
Passes |
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74% (236/321) | 78% (282/362) |
Passes in the final third |
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55% (52/95) | 60% (43/72) |
Crosses |
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47% (8/17) | 24% (5/21) |
Tackles |
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71% (5/7) | 67% (8/12) |
Clearances Total |
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18 | 19 |
Interceptions |
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13 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Lemonnier P. ⚽, Renel S. (A),
- 32', Mbock H. 🟨,
- 38', Barreto M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Doucoure F. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Anziani J. ⚽, Barreto M. (A),
- 64', Renel S. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
- 64', Cisse K. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 65', Fall A. ↓, Dembi F. J. ↑,
- 69', Kante A. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
- 79', Santelli B. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
- 79', Barreto M. ↓, Puch Herrantz M. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Anziani J. ⚽,
- 86', Mbock H. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
- 86', Anziani J. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
- 90+5', Lemonnier P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ajaccio 36.2% | Draw 32.9% | Red Star 30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ajaccio - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.59 ↑ (2.25) |
2.86 ↓ (2.98) |
3.05 ↓ (3.53) |
6.3% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Red Star will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 44.9% – 88.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0.
- Recent matches Ajaccio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Red Star is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M.
(Injury)
Huard M.
(Inactive)
Jacob V.
(Leg Injury)
Toure B.
(Inactive)
Touzghar Y.
(Arm Injury)
- There will not play in Red Star: Badji A.
(Yellow Cards)
Danger B.
(Injury)
Eickmayer J.
(Injury)
Mendy B.
(Injury)
Meyapya B.
(Injury)
Slimani R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Red Star: Kouagba L.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Red Star?
Ajaccio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Ajaccio?
Red Star has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Red Star were as follows:
26.08.2024
Red Star
-
Ajaccio
1:0
Latest results of Ajaccio
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National