Result
2:1
14/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (236/321) | 78% (282/362) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 55% (52/95) | 60% (43/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 24% (5/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 67% (8/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Lemonnier P. ⚽, Renel S. (A),
- 32', Mbock H. 🟨,
- 38', Barreto M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Doucoure F. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Anziani J. ⚽, Barreto M. (A),
- 64', Renel S. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
- 64', Cisse K. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 65', Fall A. ↓, Dembi F. J. ↑,
- 69', Kante A. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
- 79', Santelli B. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
- 79', Barreto M. ↓, Puch Herrantz M. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Anziani J. ⚽,
- 86', Mbock H. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
- 86', Anziani J. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
- 90+5', Lemonnier P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
36.2% | Draw
32.9% | Red Star
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ajaccio - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.25) |
2.86 ↓
(2.98) |
3.05 ↓
(3.53) |
6.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Red Star will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 44.9% – 88.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0.
- Recent matches Ajaccio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Red Star is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M.
(Injury)
Huard M.
(Inactive)
Jacob V.
(Leg Injury)
Toure B.
(Inactive)
Touzghar Y.
(Arm Injury)
- There will not play in Red Star: Badji A.
(Yellow Cards)
Danger B.
(Injury)
Eickmayer J.
(Injury)
Mendy B.
(Injury)
Meyapya B.
(Injury)
Slimani R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Red Star: Kouagba L.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Red Star?
Ajaccio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Ajaccio?
Red Star has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Red Star were as follows:
26.08.2024
Red Star
-
Ajaccio
1:0
Latest results of Ajaccio
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
