Ajaccio vs Red Star – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Ajaccio - Red Star
Result
2:1
14/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.58
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
159
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
67
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
126
Offsides
50
Fouls
612
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2318
Touches in the Opposition Box
1817
Passes
74% (236/321)78% (282/362)
Passes in the final third
55% (52/95)60% (43/72)
Crosses
47% (8/17)24% (5/21)
Tackles
71% (5/7)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
1819
Interceptions
1311

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Lemonnier P. , Renel S. (A),
  • 32', Mbock H. 🟨,
  • 38', Barreto M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', Doucoure F. , Escartin J. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Anziani J. , Barreto M. (A),
  • 64', Renel S. , Durand D. ,
  • 64', Cisse K. , Benali H. ,
  • 65', Fall A. , Dembi F. J. ,
  • 69', Kante A. , Soumano M. ,
  • 79', Santelli B. , Toure B. ,
  • 79', Barreto M. , Puch Herrantz M. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Anziani J. ,
  • 86', Mbock H. , Eickmayer J. ,
  • 86', Anziani J. , Mangani T. ,
  • 90+5', Lemonnier P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
36.2%
Draw
32.9%
Red Star
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 31.6% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 33.3% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.
  • Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ajaccio - Red Star Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.25)
    2.86
    (2.98)
    3.05
    (3.53)
    6.3%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Red Star?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Red Star will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 44.9%88.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0.
    • Recent matches Ajaccio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Red Star is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M. (Injury) Huard M. (Inactive) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Toure B. (Inactive) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • There will not play in Red Star: Badji A. (Yellow Cards) Danger B. (Injury) Eickmayer J. (Injury) Mendy B. (Injury) Meyapya B. (Injury) Slimani R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Red Star: Kouagba L. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Red Star were as follows:
    26.08.2024 Red Star - Ajaccio 1:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2
    03.03.2025 Ajaccio - Dunkerque 1:2
    22.02.2025 Metz - Ajaccio 0:1
    14.02.2025 Ajaccio - Laval 3:0
    08.02.2025 Ajaccio - Guingamp 0:3
    Latest results of Red Star
    07.03.2025 Red Star - Amiens 2:0
    01.03.2025 Red Star - Guingamp 3:1
    21.02.2025 Bastia - Red Star 1:0
    14.02.2025 Red Star - Martigues 1:0
    07.02.2025 Grenoble - Red Star 0:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

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