Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (355/411) | 89% (458/512) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (355/411) | 89% (458/512) |
| Long passes |
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| 60% (31/52) | 59% (30/51) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 74% (86/117) | 76% (77/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.88 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.12 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Badji A. ⚽, Hachem R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Benrahou Y. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
- 55', Coulibaly K. ↓, Mendy A. ↑,
- 55', Tavares H. ↓, Milliner L. ↑,
- 64', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 70', Dembi F. J. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
- 70', Eickmayer J. ↓, Renel S. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Najim I. ⚽, Lebreton N. (A),
- 79', Cisse K. ↓, Lemonnier P. ↑,
- 80', Badji A. ↓, Fall A. ↑,
- 84', Durivaux D. 🟨,
- 88', Durand D. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
- 90+4', Escartin J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caen
34.3% | Draw
27.9% | Red Star
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caen's form might have worsened.Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caen - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(1.89) |
3.41 ↓
(3.59) |
2.51 ↓
(3.72) |
5.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caen - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Red Star will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Red Star (1.70) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Red Star (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Red Star (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 15).
- Caen is Relegated to National
- Caen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Red Star has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Caen: Autret M.
(Inactive)
Benrahou Y.
(Inactive)
Henry V.
(Inactive)
Ntim E.
(Thigh Injury)
Rajot L.
(Inactive)
Thomas R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Red Star: Avognan W.
(Injury)
Benali H.
(Injury)
Danger B.
(Injury)
Doucoure F.
(Injury)
Doucoure R.
(Injury)
Lemonnier P.
(Injury)
Slimani R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Caen: Gaucho Debohi D.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Red Star?
Caen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Caen?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Red Star were as follows:
18.10.2024
Red Star
-
Caen
2:2
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
