Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.60 | 0.70 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
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14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 2 |
Passes |
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86% (355/411) | 89% (458/512) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.60 | 0.70 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.05 | 0.88 |
Total shots |
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14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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19 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 13 |
Passes |
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86% (355/411) | 89% (458/512) |
Long passes |
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60% (31/52) | 59% (30/51) |
Passes in final third |
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74% (86/117) | 76% (77/101) |
Crosses |
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29% (5/17) | 35% (7/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.69 | 0.72 |
Throw-ins |
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21 | 15 |
Fouls |
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13 | 13 |
Tackles |
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88% (14/16) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
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44 | 40 |
Clearances |
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26 | 22 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.88 | 1.05 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.12 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Badji A. ⚽, Hachem R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Benrahou Y. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
- 55', Coulibaly K. ↓, Mendy A. ↑,
- 55', Tavares H. ↓, Milliner L. ↑,
- 64', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 70', Dembi F. J. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
- 70', Eickmayer J. ↓, Renel S. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Najim I. ⚽, Lebreton N. (A),
- 79', Cisse K. ↓, Lemonnier P. ↑,
- 80', Badji A. ↓, Fall A. ↑,
- 84', Durivaux D. 🟨,
- 88', Durand D. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
- 90+4', Escartin J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caen 34.3% | Draw 27.9% | Red Star 37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caen's form might have worsened.Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caen - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.74 ↑ (1.89) |
3.41 ↓ (3.59) |
2.51 ↓ (3.72) |
5.7% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caen - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Red Star will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Red Star (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 15).
- Caen is Relegated to National
- Caen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Red Star has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Caen: Autret M.
(Inactive)
Benrahou Y.
(Inactive)
Henry V.
(Inactive)
Ntim E.
(Thigh Injury)
Rajot L.
(Inactive)
Thomas R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Red Star: Avognan W.
(Injury)
Benali H.
(Injury)
Danger B.
(Injury)
Doucoure F.
(Injury)
Doucoure R.
(Injury)
Lemonnier P.
(Injury)
Slimani R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Caen: Gaucho Debohi D.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Red Star?
Caen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Caen?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Red Star were as follows:
18.10.2024
Red Star
-
Caen
2:2
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National