Result
1:0
03/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (257/345) | 81% (421/517) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (257/345) | 81% (421/517) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 47% (34/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (101/147) | 56% (45/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', Maronnier L. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sylla D. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 46', Ikanga J. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
- 58', Khaoui S. E. 🟨,
- 65', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Trani G. ↑,
- 68', Detourbet M. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
- 80', Bentayeb T. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
- 80', Adeline M. ↓, Phliponeau A. ↑,
- 84', Cisse K. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
- 90+4', Danger B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Troyes
49.9% | Draw
28.6% | Red Star
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Troyes - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.77) |
3.24 ↓
(3.3) |
4.37 ↓
(4.96) |
7.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Troyes - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Red Star will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 4.
- Troyes is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Red Star is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Red Star may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Troyes has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Troyes is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Troyes: El Idrissy M.
(Inactive)
Gozzi P.
(Broken Leg)
Lemaitre N.
(Knee Injury)
Titi Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Red Star: Benali H.
(Inactive)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Rabouille V.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Red Star: Hachem R.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Red Star?
Troyes has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Troyes?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Red Star were as follows:
23.09.2025
Red Star
-
Troyes
1:3
05.04.2025
Troyes
-
Red Star
2:2
08.11.2024
Red Star
-
Troyes
0:3
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
