Result
2:2
05/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Chapapria R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (242/316) | 82% (390/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (242/316) | 82% (390/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (73/107) | 65% (70/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 30% (8/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 12', 1 - 0, Irie C. ⚽, M'Changama Y. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Mbock H. ⚽, Hachem R. (A),
- 34', 1 - 2, Ifnaoui M. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 2, M'Changama Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Mendes H. 🟨,
- 61', de Preville N. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 73', Diop M. ↓, Adeline M. ↑,
- 75', Monfray A. 🟨,
- 80', Irie C. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
- 80', Phliponeau A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 82', Mendy B. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
- 82', Benali H. ↓, Cisse K. ↑,
- 82', Durand D. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/88wfvzme
Chances of winning
Troyes
51.3% | Draw
28.2% | Red Star
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Troyes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Troyes - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.83) |
3.34 ↓
(3.43) |
4.54 ↑
(4.38) |
5.7%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Troyes - Red Star?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Troyes (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Troyes will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Troyes is a favorite.
- There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M.
(Injury)
Ripart R.
(Knee Injury)
Tahrat M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Red Star: Avognan W.
(Injury)
Danger B.
(Injury)
Doucoure R.
(Injury)
Mendy B.
(Injury)
Slimani R.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:3 (average 2.6:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Red Star?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Troyes?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Red Star were as follows:
08.11.2024
Red Star
-
Troyes
0:3
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
