Result
2:2
05/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Chapapria R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.85 | 1.02 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
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8 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
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77% (242/316) | 82% (390/477) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.85 | 1.02 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.56 | 0.97 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 21 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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7 | 17 |
Passes |
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77% (242/316) | 82% (390/477) |
Long passes |
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38% (20/52) | 36% (19/53) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (73/107) | 65% (70/108) |
Crosses |
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42% (8/19) | 30% (8/27) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.95 | 0.82 |
Fouls |
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17 | 7 |
Tackles |
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93% (13/14) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
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39 | 49 |
Clearances Total |
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29 | 18 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.97 | 1.56 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.03 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 12', 1 - 0, Irie C. ⚽, M'Changama Y. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Mbock H. ⚽, Hachem R. (A),
- 34', 1 - 2, Ifnaoui M. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 2, M'Changama Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Mendes H. 🟨,
- 61', de Preville N. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 73', Diop M. ↓, Adeline M. ↑,
- 75', Monfray A. 🟨,
- 80', Irie C. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
- 80', Phliponeau A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 82', Mendy B. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
- 82', Benali H. ↓, Cisse K. ↑,
- 82', Durand D. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/88wfvzme
Chances of winning
Troyes 51.3% | Draw 28.2% | Red Star 20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Troyes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Troyes - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↑ (1.83) |
3.34 ↓ (3.43) |
4.54 ↑ (4.38) |
5.7% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Troyes - Red Star?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Troyes (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Troyes will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Troyes is a favorite.
- There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M.
(Injury)
Ripart R.
(Knee Injury)
Tahrat M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Red Star: Avognan W.
(Injury)
Danger B.
(Injury)
Doucoure R.
(Injury)
Mendy B.
(Injury)
Slimani R.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:3 (average 2.6:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Red Star?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Troyes?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Red Star were as follows:
08.11.2024
Red Star
-
Troyes
0:3
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National