Rei Sakamoto vs Nicolas Mejia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Cary Challenger Men Rei Sakamoto - Nicolas Mejia
Result
2:1
01/07/2025 at 13:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
123
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
60%53%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (55/80)67% (35/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (27/53)53% (25/47)
Break Points Saved
87% (13/15)62% (8/13)
1st Return Points Won
33% (17/52)31% (25/80)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (22/47)49% (26/53)
Break Points Converted
38% (5/13)13% (2/15)
Winners
4222
Unforced Errors
6250
Net Points Won
65% (13/20)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
62% (82/133)61% (60/99)
Return Points Won
39% (39/99)38% (51/133)
Total Points Won
52% (121/232)48% (111/232)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
60% (18/30)40% (12/30)

Chances of winning


Rei Sakamoto
56.9%
Nicolas Mejia
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rei Sakamoto's performance.
  • Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Mejia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rei Sakamoto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Mejia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rei Sakamoto - Nicolas Mejia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.83)

    2.17
    (1.83)
    7.2%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 288. Mejia is ranked ATP: 243.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sakamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
    Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Schoolkate T. (1)Zhou Y.2 : 1
    2Rybakov A. (Q)Ilagan A. (Alt)0 : 2
    3Maloney P.Kirchheimer S. (Q)2 : 1
    4Sakamoto R.Mejia N. (7)2 : 1
    5Galarneau A. (4)Roh H. (JR)2 : 0
    6Dostanic S. (WC)Martin A. (Alt)1 : 2
    7Nakagawa N.Sell K.0 : 2
    8Imamura M. (Alt)Kypson P. (8)0 : 2
    9Tomic B. (9)Bigun K. (JR)0 : 2
    10Wu Y.Mayew I. (WC)2 : 0
    11Manning W. (WC)Glinka D. (Q)1 : 2
    12Zheng M. (Q)Jasika O. (3)2 : 0
    13Noguchi R. (6)Moriya H. (Q)1 : 2
    14Andrade A.Mayo A.0 : 2
    15Sheehy J. (Q)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 0
    16Sekulic P. (PR)Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Schoolkate T. (1)Ilagan A.2 : 1
    2Maloney P.Sakamoto R.1 : 2
    3Galarneau A. (4)Martin A.2 : 1
    4Sell K.Kypson P. (8)0 : 2
    5Bigun K.Wu Y.0 : 2
    6Glinka D.Zheng M.0 : 2
    7Moriya H.Mayo A.0 : 2
    8Sheehy J.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Schoolkate T. (1)Sakamoto R.0 : 2
    2Galarneau A. (4)Kypson P. (8)1 : 2
    3Wu Y.Zheng M.2 : 0
    4Mayo A.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sakamoto R.Kypson P. (8)2 : 0
    2Wu Y.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sakamoto R.Draxl L. (2)2 : 0