Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 7
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ 5, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (316/390) | 85% (461/543) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (316/390) | 85% (461/543) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (22/41) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (48/85) | 75% (106/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.33 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Embolo B. ⚽, Lepaul E. (A),
- 29', 0 - 2, Lepaul E. ⚽,
- 34', Ebonog S. 🟨,
- 45', Jacquet J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Soumare I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', Cisse D. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
- 64', Namli Y. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
- 64', Mambimbi F. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
- 64', Rongier V. 🟨,
- 78', Ebonog S. ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
- 78', Nego L. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Ndiaye R. ⚽, Kyeremeh G. (A),
- 90', Ndiaye R. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
- 90+1', Lepaul E. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Le Havre
24.6% | Draw
28.4% | Rennes
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Le Havre - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.3 ↑
(3.21) |
3.59 ↑
(3.42) |
2.16 ↓
(2.24) |
-2.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Rennes will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 44.1% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rennes (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A.
(Groin Injury)
Kamara G.
(Injury)
Rouault A.
(Personal Reasons)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Kechta Y.
(Knock)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Rennes?
Le Havre has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Le Havre?
Rennes has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Rennes were as follows:
13.04.2025
Le Havre
-
Rennes
1:5
25.10.2024
Rennes
-
Le Havre
1:0
11.02.2024
Le Havre
-
Rennes
0:1
27.08.2023
Rennes
-
Le Havre
2:2
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
