Le Havre vs Rennes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Le Havre - Rennes
Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 7
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ 5, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1 Pass
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.671.11
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
81% (316/390)85% (461/543)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.671.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.67
Total shots
109
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
913
Passes
81% (316/390)85% (461/543)
Long passes
54% (22/41)50% (25/50)
Passes in final third
56% (48/85)75% (106/142)
Crosses
30% (9/30)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.57
Throw-ins
2618
Fouls
139
Tackles
69% (9/13)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3845
Clearances
3025
Interceptions
169
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.671.79
Goals prevented
-1.33-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Embolo B. , Lepaul E. (A),
  • 29', 0 - 2, Lepaul E. ,
  • 34', Ebonog S. 🟨,
  • 45', Jacquet J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Soumare I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', Cisse D. , Fofana S. ,
  • 64', Namli Y. , Doucoure F. ,
  • 64', Mambimbi F. , Kyeremeh G. ,
  • 64', Rongier V. 🟨,
  • 78', Ebonog S. , Pizarro D. ,
  • 78', Nego L. , Kechta Y. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Ndiaye R. , Kyeremeh G. (A),
  • 90', Ndiaye R. , Vinette E. K. ,
  • 90+1', Lepaul E. , Tamari M. ,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
24.6%
Draw
28.4%
Rennes
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 27.8% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 27.6% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Le Havre - Rennes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.3
    (3.21)
    3.59
    (3.42)
    2.16
    (2.24)
    -2.6%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Le Havre - Rennes?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Rennes will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 44.1%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rennes (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A. (Groin Injury) Kamara G. (Injury) Rouault A. (Personal Reasons)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Kechta Y. (Knock)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Rennes were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 1:5
    25.10.2024 Rennes - Le Havre 1:0
    11.02.2024 Le Havre - Rennes 0:1
    27.08.2023 Rennes - Le Havre 2:2
    Latest results of Le Havre
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    21.09.2025 Le Havre - Lorient 1:1
    14.09.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 1:0
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    Latest results of Rennes
    28.09.2025 Rennes - Lens 0:0
    20.09.2025 Nantes - Rennes 2:2
    14.09.2025 Rennes - Lyon 3:1
    31.08.2025 Angers - Rennes 1:1
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marseille860221:71418
    2PSG852116:8817
    3Strasbourg851217:10716
    4Lens851212:7516
    5Lyon850311:8315
    6Lille842216:10614
    7Monaco842217:13414
    8Toulouse841315:12313
    9Rennes825111:12-111
    10Nice832312:14-211
    11Paris FC931514:17-310
    12Brest823314:1409
    13Nantes92347:10-39
    14Lorient822412:19-78
    15Auxerre82157:12-57
    16Le Havre813410:16-66
    17Angers81344:12-86
    18Metz80265:20-152

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2