Result
14/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 4
- Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Chances of winning
Rennes
37.8% | Draw
27.2% | Lyon
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Rennes - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.76) |
3.52 ↓
(3.58) |
2.71 ↑
(2.45) |
4.8%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rennes - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 11 - 27.5%). Lyon will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 42.2% – 72.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lyon (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2.
- In recent matches, Rennes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lyon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Rennes: Camara M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Lyon: Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Lyon?
Rennes has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Rennes?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Lyon were as follows:
26.04.2025
Lyon
-
Rennes
4:1
18.08.2024
Rennes
-
Lyon
3:0
26.01.2024
Lyon
-
Rennes
2:3
12.11.2023
Rennes
-
Lyon
0:1
09.04.2023
Lyon
-
Rennes
3:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Nice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Lens | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Nantes | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Brest | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Metz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
