Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 24
- Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (580/673) | 75% (272/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (580/673) | 75% (272/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 27% (14/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (106/147) | 58% (65/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 59% (16/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Lepaul E. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Nordin A. ⚽,
- 42', Demba P. 🟨,
- 45+1', Cresswell C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Vignolo J. ↓, Emersonn ↑,
- 62', Vossah A. 🟨,
- 73', Szymanski S. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
- 73', Tamari M. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
- 74', Vossah A. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
- 81', Kamanzi W. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
- 81', Lepaul E. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
- 90', Nordin A. ↓, Mukiele N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rennes
47.8% | Draw
26.8% | Toulouse
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rennes's performance.Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rennes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rennes - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.3) |
3.53 ↑
(3.43) |
3.77 ↑
(3.01) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rennes - Toulouse?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Rennes (2.00) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Toulouse (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rennes will win
(64 of 72 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.63% – 96.15%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rennes will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 32 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 28 - 87.5%). Toulouse (votes: 2 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Toulouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Rennes has had a series of away games.
- Rennes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rennes: Frankowski P.
(Injury)
Jacquet J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Kamara G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Casseres C.
(Yellow Cards)
Dominguez A.
(Inactive)
Donnum A.
(Suspended)
Emersonn
(Injury)
Francis A.
(Broken Leg)
Magri F.
(Knee Injury)
Messali R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Toulouse?
Rennes has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Rennes?
Toulouse has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Toulouse were as follows:
29.10.2025
Toulouse
-
Rennes
2:2
03.05.2025
Toulouse
-
Rennes
2:1
10.11.2024
Rennes
-
Toulouse
0:2
13.04.2024
Rennes
-
Toulouse
1:2
17.12.2023
Toulouse
-
Rennes
0:0
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
