Result
2:2
29/10/2025 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 10
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | FSHF, Klani IM |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 9 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (357/432) | 79% (276/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (357/432) | 79% (276/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (78/125) | 63% (43/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Ait Boudlal A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽,
- 54', 0 - 2, Tamari M. ⚽, Lepaul E. (A),
- 58', 1 - 2, Cresswell C. ⚽, Gboho Y. (A),
- 61', Sidibe D. ↓, Emersonn ↑,
- 61', Francis A. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
- 63', Tamari M. 🟨,
- 69', Meite M. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
- 71', Cisse D. ↓, Kamara G. ↑,
- 76', Samba B. 🟨,
- 78', Nicolaisen R. 🟨,
- 79', Frankowski P. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
- 80', Lepaul E. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
- 80', Casseres C. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
- 80', Magri F. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Donnum A. (Pen),
- 90+3', Donnum A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toulouse
44.5% | Draw
27% | Rennes
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Toulouse - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.12) |
3.55 ↑
(3.48) |
3.39 ↑
(3.35) |
4.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 42 - 76.4%). Rennes will win (votes: 5 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 65.2% – 87.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Rennes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toulouse will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Rennes (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Toulouse could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Messali R.
(Ankle Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Rennes?
Toulouse has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Toulouse?
Rennes has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Rennes were as follows:
03.05.2025
Toulouse
-
Rennes
2:1
10.11.2024
Rennes
-
Toulouse
0:2
13.04.2024
Rennes
-
Toulouse
1:2
17.12.2023
Toulouse
-
Rennes
0:0
12.02.2023
Toulouse
-
Rennes
3:1
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 48:16 | 32 | 51 |
| 2 | Lens | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 37:17 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Lyon | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 34:20 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Marseille | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 46:27 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Lille | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Rennes | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 31:34 | -3 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 34:27 | 7 | 30 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 30 |
| 9 | Angers | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 29 |
| 10 | Monaco | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 28 |
| 11 | Lorient | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27:33 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Brest | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18:26 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Nice | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 | Nantes | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19:37 | -18 | 14 |
| 18 | Metz | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21:46 | -25 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
