Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (248/304) | 91% (452/498) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (248/304) | 91% (452/498) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (29/52) | 61% (17/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (50/84) | 85% (110/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 68% (17/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Cresswell C. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Gboho Y. ⚽, Sidibe D. (A),
- 45+2', Rouault A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Wooh C. 🟨,
- 58', Cisse D. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
- 58', Wooh C. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Kalimuendo A. ⚽, Truffert A. (A),
- 67', Olaigbe K. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
- 67', James J. ↓, Matusiwa A. ↑,
- 68', Martinez C. 🟨,
- 73', Magri F. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
- 77', Kamanzi W. ↓, Zajc M. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Donnum A. ⚽, Restes G. (A),
- 87', Gboho Y. ↓, Akdag U. ↑,
- 90+2', Assignon L. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
- 90+6', Restes G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toulouse
44.1% | Draw
27.4% | Rennes
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Toulouse - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.11) |
3.48 ↓
(3.51) |
3.37 ↓
(3.46) |
4.6%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Rennes will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 16.3% – 56.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 2 - 50%). Rennes (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Rennes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3.
- Toulouse has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rennes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Toulouse will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z.
(Injury)
Edjouma N.
(Red Card)
McKenzie M.
(Red Card)
Nicolaisen R.
(Calf Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rennes: Alemdar D.
(Head Injury)
Jacquet J.
(Calf Injury)
Seidu A.
(Knee Injury)
Sishuba A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Toulouse: Akdag U.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rennes: Faye M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Rennes?
Toulouse has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Toulouse?
Rennes has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Rennes were as follows:
10.11.2024
Rennes
-
Toulouse
0:2
13.04.2024
Rennes
-
Toulouse
1:2
17.12.2023
Toulouse
-
Rennes
0:0
12.02.2023
Toulouse
-
Rennes
3:1
12.11.2022
Rennes
-
Toulouse
2:1
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
