Toulouse vs Rennes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Toulouse - Rennes
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.42
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
82% (248/304)91% (452/498)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.321.18
Total shots
915
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
157
Passes
82% (248/304)91% (452/498)
Long passes
56% (29/52)61% (17/28)
Passes in final third
60% (50/84)85% (110/129)
Crosses
31% (4/13)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.25
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
715
Tackles
50% (10/20)68% (17/25)
Duels won
5554
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.182.32
Goals prevented
0.180.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Cresswell C. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Gboho Y. ⚽, Sidibe D. (A),
  • 45+2', Rouault A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Wooh C. 🟨,
  • 58', Cisse D. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
  • 58', Wooh C. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Kalimuendo A. ⚽, Truffert A. (A),
  • 67', Olaigbe K. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
  • 67', James J. ↓, Matusiwa A. ↑,
  • 68', Martinez C. 🟨,
  • 73', Magri F. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
  • 77', Kamanzi W. ↓, Zajc M. ↑,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Donnum A. ⚽, Restes G. (A),
  • 87', Gboho Y. ↓, Akdag U. ↑,
  • 90+2', Assignon L. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
  • 90+6', Restes G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Toulouse
44.1%		Draw
27.4%		Rennes
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 27.2% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 27% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Toulouse - Rennes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.17 ↑
    (2.11)    		 3.48 ↓
    (3.51)    		 3.37 ↓
    (3.46)    		 4.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Toulouse - Rennes?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Rennes will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 16.3% – 56.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 2 - 50%). Rennes (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Rennes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3.
    • Toulouse has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rennes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Toulouse will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z. (Injury) Edjouma N. (Red Card) McKenzie M. (Red Card) Nicolaisen R. (Calf Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rennes: Alemdar D. (Head Injury) Jacquet J. (Calf Injury) Seidu A. (Knee Injury) Sishuba A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Akdag U. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rennes: Faye M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Rennes were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Rennes - Toulouse 0:2
    13.04.2024 Rennes - Toulouse 1:2
    17.12.2023 Toulouse - Rennes 0:0
    12.02.2023 Toulouse - Rennes 3:1
    12.11.2022 Rennes - Toulouse 2:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    27.04.2025 Nantes - Toulouse 0:0 ✺
    20.04.2025 Reims - Toulouse 1:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Toulouse - Lille 1:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 3:2 ✺
    30.03.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:4 ✺
    Latest results of Rennes
    26.04.2025 Lyon - Rennes 4:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Rennes - Nantes 2:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 1:5 ✺
    06.04.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 0:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Angers - Rennes 0:3 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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