Result
3:2
20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 26
- Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (235/329) | 85% (534/627) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (235/329) | 85% (534/627) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/58) | 56% (22/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (77/103) | 72% (132/184) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Ruiz Atil K. ⚽, D'Ostilio J. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Ngawa P. ⚽, D'Ostilio J. (A),
- 40', 2 - 1, Musuayi Y. ⚽, Vandeperre A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Ruiz Atil K. 🟨,
- 58', Lund-Jensen T. ↓, Koren T. N. ↑,
- 59', Vandeperre A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 62', D'Ostilio J. 🟨,
- 64', Van Acker T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Buifrahi R. ↓, Da Silva J. ↑,
- 64', Granados A. ↓, Okon G. ↑,
- 67', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 1, Soelle F. ⚽, Bruggeman B. (A),
- 72', Lefebvre A. ↓, Mouchamps D. ↑,
- 72', Shkurti K. ↓, De Sart A. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 2, Musuayi Y. ⚽, Koren T. N. (A),
- 83', Soelle F. ↓, Gedikli E. ↑,
- 83', Ruiz Atil K. ↓, Corneillie V. ↑,
- 87', Wylin S. ↓, Goemaere L. ↑,
- 90', Bruggeman B. ↓, Lucker L. ↑,
Chances of winning
RFC Liège
49.7% | Draw
25.3% | Brugge U23
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFC Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Brugge U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brugge U23 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
RFC Liège - Brugge U23 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.82) |
3.69 ↑
(3.68) |
3.73 ↓
(3.76) |
8.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RFC Liège - Brugge U23?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - RFC Liège (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
RFC Liège will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, RFC Liège is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against Brugge U23?
RFC Liège has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brugge U23 won against RFC Liège?
Brugge U23 has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - Brugge U23 were as follows:
13.09.2025
Brugge U23
-
RFC Liège
0:2
05.04.2025
Brugge U23
-
RFC Liège
2:1
27.10.2024
RFC Liège
-
Brugge U23
1:1
12.04.2024
Brugge U23
-
RFC Liège
1:2
15.09.2023
RFC Liège
-
Brugge U23
3:1
Latest results of RFC Liège
Latest results of Brugge U23
