Result
4:2
27/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (331/405) | 79% (323/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.40 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (331/405) | 79% (323/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (32/70) | 48% (29/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (104/146) | 63% (81/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 3.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', Rasheed M. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Bazini Y. ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 0, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽, Doyle C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Lage M. ↓, Vaughan J. ↑,
- 46', Garnett G. ↓, Howell B. ↑,
- 47', Cela K. 🟨,
- 49', Doyle C. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 1, Seufert N. ⚽,
- 64', Bazini Y. ↓, Vivas S. ↑,
- 64', Jimenez O. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
- 66', Bwana H. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,
- 68', Billhardt A. ↓, Kirkland J. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 1, Gray T. ⚽,
- 71', Malou J. 🟨,
- 72', 3 - 2, Kirkland J. ⚽, Howell B. (A),
- 76', 4 - 2, Reid-Stephen N. ⚽,
- 77', Malou J. ↓, Kasanzu J. ↑,
- 80', Cela K. ↓, Baer R. ↑,
- 85', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Walker A. ↑,
- 85', Seufert N. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
- 90', Vivas S. 🟨,
- 90+6', O'Dwyer C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
South Georgia Tormenta
50.3% | Draw
24.4% | Richmond Kickers
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Georgia Tormenta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Georgia Tormenta's form might have worsened.Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Georgia Tormenta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Richmond Kickers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.59) |
3.79 ↓
(3.97) |
3.65 ↓
(4.43) |
8.2%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 1.
- Tormenta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Richmond Kickers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tormenta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tormenta is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Tormenta will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tormenta won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has South Georgia Tormenta won against Richmond Kickers?
South Georgia Tormenta has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Richmond Kickers won against South Georgia Tormenta?
Richmond Kickers has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between South Georgia Tormenta - Richmond Kickers were as follows:
16.08.2025
Richmond Kickers
-
South Georgia Tormenta
2:3
07.03.2025
South Georgia Tormenta
-
Richmond Kickers
2:4
11.10.2024
South Georgia Tormenta
-
Richmond Kickers
2:2
10.08.2024
Richmond Kickers
-
South Georgia Tormenta
2:1
25.05.2024
South Georgia Tormenta
-
Richmond Kickers
1:2
Latest results of South Georgia Tormenta
Latest results of Richmond Kickers
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 49 |
| 2 | One Knoxville ✔ | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity ✔ | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | FC Naples ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
| 6 | Union Omaha | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Tormenta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Forward Madison | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | AV Alta | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 36:42 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Greenville | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Texoma | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 38:55 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
