Result
4:1
02/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 12
- Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (466/548) | 80% (303/377) |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (466/548) | 80% (303/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (105/140) | 61% (54/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Bischoff C. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Mutandwa K. ⚽, van Wyk A. (A),
- 45', 2 - 1, Kitano S. ⚽, Bischoff C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Diambou M. ↓, Diabate S. ↑,
- 46', Gourna-Douath L. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
- 49', Havenaar N. 🟥,
- 54', Grosse M. ↓, Scherzer J. ↑,
- 59', Mutandwa K. ↓, Kiedl P. ↑,
- 59', Pomer P. ↓, Rossdorfer F. ↑,
- 67', Yeo M. K. ↓, Baidoo E. ↑,
- 68', Kitano S. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Baidoo E. ⚽, Kjaergaard M. (A),
- 79', Kiedl P. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
- 80', Maart Y. ↓, Rasner M. ↑,
- 81', 4 - 1, Ratkov P. ⚽, Vertessen Y. (A),
- 83', Bischoff C. ↓, Lainer S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Salzburg
56.2% | Draw
23% | Ried
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Salzburg's form might have worsened.Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ried's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ried, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Red Bull Salzburg - Ried Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.38) |
4.17 ↓
(4.98) |
4.72 ↓
(6.7) |
4.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Ried?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Ried will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 64.3% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Ried (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Salzburg will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Ried (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 4.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Ried may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Salzburg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Salzburg is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Salzburg: Bidstrup M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kawamura T.
(Knee Injury)
Konate K.
(Knee Injury)
Mellberg J.
(Knee Injury)
Omoregie J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sulzbacher V.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Ried: Kirnbauer D.
(Ankle Injury)
Mesic N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 56:16. (average 2.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:8. (average 2.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Ried?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Ried has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Salzburg - Ried were as follows:
02.08.2025
Ried
-
Red Bull Salzburg
2:2
26.02.2023
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Ried
2:0
10.09.2022
Ried
-
Red Bull Salzburg
0:3
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz ✔ | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 35 |
| 3 | LASK ✔ | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 33 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 30 |
| 7 | Altach | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | Tirol | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Ried | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC ✔ | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 26 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 20 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:35 | -16 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Sturm Graz is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
LASK is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Austria Vienna is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Wolfsberger AC is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
