Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 23
- Referee: Semler J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 1.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (167/252) | 63% (158/252) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (167/252) | 63% (158/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (16/56) | 43% (34/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (52/94) | 47% (37/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Mutandwa K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', van Wyk A. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
- 67', Naschberger J. ↓, Votter Y. ↑,
- 73', Sollbauer M. 🟨,
- 74', Maart Y. ↓, Rasner M. ↑,
- 79', Wels M. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Ola-Adebomi A. ⚽,
- 82', Mutandwa K. ↓, Kiedl P. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Pomer P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', Kiedl P. 🟨,
- 89', Boras M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ried
48.2% | Draw
28.2% | Swarovski Tirol
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Swarovski Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Ried - Swarovski Tirol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.96) |
3.34 ↓
(3.4) |
4 ↑
(3.71) |
5.6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ried - Swarovski Tirol?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ried will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ried: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ried (votes: 1 - 50%). Swarovski Tirol (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried won 1.
- Ried is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Swarovski Tirol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ried might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Butler Q.
(Knee Injury)
Gugganig D.
(Inactive)
Kubatta D.
(Yellow Cards)
Taferner M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ried won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ried won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Swarovski Tirol?
Ried has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swarovski Tirol won against Ried?
Swarovski Tirol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ried - Swarovski Tirol were as follows:
22.02.2026
Swarovski Tirol
-
Ried
1:1
04.10.2025
Ried
-
Swarovski Tirol
2:0
19.01.2024
Swarovski Tirol
-
Ried
1:1
12.05.2023
Swarovski Tirol
-
Ried
1:1
14.04.2023
Ried
-
Swarovski Tirol
1:1
Latest results of Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 39:29 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | SK Rapid | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Austria Vienna | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 21 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 19 |
| 5 | LASK | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
