Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 9
- Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (183/280) | 68% (183/269) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.06 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (183/280) | 68% (183/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (42/87) | 40% (28/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (69/128) | 54% (37/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 61 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Grosse M. (Pen),
- 30', Senft M. 🟨,
- 33', Muller V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Butler Q. 🟨,
- 55', Kubatta D. 🟨,
- 55', Sollbauer M. 🟨,
- 58', Lawrence J. 🟨,
- 58', Mutandwa K. 🟨,
- 60', Mutandwa K. ↓, Kiedl P. ↑,
- 65', Sabitzer T. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
- 65', Ola-Adebomi A. ↓, Anselm T. ↑,
- 65', Kubatta D. ↓, Gugganig D. ↑,
- 65', Wels M. ↓, Baden Frederiksen N. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, van Wyk A. ⚽, Grosse M. (A),
- 86', Grosse M. ↓, Bajlicz N. ↑,
- 88', van Wyk A. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
- 89', Mayer J. ↓, Rasner M. ↑,
- 89', Bajic A. ↓, Rossdorfer F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ried
49.4% | Draw
28.5% | Swarovski Tirol
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ried's performance.Swarovski Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swarovski Tirol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ried that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swarovski Tirol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ried - Swarovski Tirol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.16) |
3.56 ↓
(3.64) |
4.73 ↑
(2.93) |
-1.3%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ried - Swarovski Tirol?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ried will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried won 0.
- Ried has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Swarovski Tirol is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ried could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Ried: Kirnbauer D.
(Inactive)
Mesic N.
(Knee Injury)
Scherzer J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Sulzbacher L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ried won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ried won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Swarovski Tirol?
Ried has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swarovski Tirol won against Ried?
Swarovski Tirol has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ried - Swarovski Tirol were as follows:
19.01.2024
Swarovski Tirol
-
Ried
1:1
12.05.2023
Swarovski Tirol
-
Ried
1:1
14.04.2023
Ried
-
Swarovski Tirol
1:1
12.11.2022
Swarovski Tirol
-
Ried
2:0
Latest results of Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 | Altach | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Ried | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | BW Linz | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Tirol | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | LASK | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
