Result
2:3
19/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.89 | 1.59 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
75% (179/238) | 87% (388/444) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.89 | 1.59 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.87 | 1.43 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
0 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
20 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
75% (179/238) | 87% (388/444) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (17/41) | 64% (25/39) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (33/51) | 69% (101/146) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 13% (3/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.03 | 0.80 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 29 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 20 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (15/27) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
67 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
36 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.43 | 1.87 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.57 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Leidsman K. ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, Babic A. (Own goal),
- 42', 1 - 2, Grimaldo J. ⚽, Iago Siqueira (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Lausic M. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
- 62', Melnis B. ↓, Saveljevs A. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Leidsman K. (Pen),
- 72', Ogunniyi A. 🟨,
- 73', Tonisevs M. 🟨,
- 75', Gueye D. ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 75', Leidsman K. ↓, Oloko E. ↑,
- 76', Iljins K. 🟨,
- 77', Tonisevs M. ↓, Birka E. ↑,
- 77', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Taiwo A. ↑,
- 77', Galo O. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
- 84', Grimaldo J. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
- 84', Diop M. ↓, Pena B. ↑,
- 87', Traore A. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 3, Taiwo A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Liepāja 13.7% | Draw 21.5% | Riga 64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Liepāja - Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.69 ↑ (6.6) |
4.27 ↓ (4.63) |
1.42 ↑ (1.37) |
8.9% (10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - Riga?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Riga will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Riga (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 0.
- Liepāja is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Riga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Riga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Riga has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Riga is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:41. (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Riga?
Liepāja has won 0 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against Liepāja?
Riga has won 11 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Riga were as follows:
19.05.2025
Riga
-
Liepāja
2:0
03.04.2025
Liepāja
-
Riga
2:5
29.09.2024
Riga
-
Liepāja
1:0
07.07.2024
Liepāja
-
Riga
0:3
14.05.2024
Liepāja
-
Riga
1:1
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga