Result
3:0
03/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (349/402) | 87% (347/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (349/402) | 87% (347/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 65% (20/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (76/106) | 79% (69/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | -1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Galo O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Mankenda G. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Diop M. ⚽, Galo O. (A),
- 71', Babic A. ↓, Iljins K. ↑,
- 71', Patijcuks D. ↓, Oloko E. ↑,
- 71', Grimaldo J. ↓, Birka E. ↑,
- 72', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Regza M. ↑,
- 78', Gueye D. 🟨,
- 78', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 78', Sorokins V. ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 0, Regza M. ⚽, Jurkovskis R. (A),
- 82', Iago Siqueira ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
- 88', Lausic M. ↓, Korotkovs I. ↑,
- 90', Galo O. ↓, Varslavans R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Riga
73.4% | Draw
16.6% | Liepāja
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga's performance.Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Riga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Riga - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.43) |
5.65 ↑
(4.2) |
9.33 ↑
(6.56) |
7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Riga - Liepāja?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga won 5.
- Riga has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Liepāja is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Liepāja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Riga has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Riga is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riga won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:13. (average 2.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Riga won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against Liepāja?
Riga has won 13 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Riga?
Liepāja has won 0 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Riga - Liepāja were as follows:
18.09.2025
Liepāja
-
Riga
0:4
19.07.2025
Liepāja
-
Riga
2:3
19.05.2025
Riga
-
Liepāja
2:0
03.04.2025
Liepāja
-
Riga
2:5
29.09.2024
Riga
-
Liepāja
1:0
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 80:21 | 59 | 83 |
| 2 | RFS | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 88:35 | 53 | 78 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 48:55 | -7 | 47 |
| 5 | Auda | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 37:62 | -25 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobina | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 30 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Metta | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 31:68 | -37 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
