Result
2:3
19/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (179/238) | 87% (388/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (179/238) | 87% (388/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (17/41) | 64% (25/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (33/51) | 69% (101/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Leidsman K. ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, Babic A. (Own goal),
- 42', 1 - 2, Grimaldo J. ⚽, Iago Siqueira (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Lausic M. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
- 62', Melnis B. ↓, Saveljevs A. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Leidsman K. (Pen),
- 72', Ogunniyi A. 🟨,
- 73', Tonisevs M. 🟨,
- 75', Gueye D. ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 75', Leidsman K. ↓, Oloko E. ↑,
- 76', Iljins K. 🟨,
- 77', Tonisevs M. ↓, Birka E. ↑,
- 77', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Taiwo A. ↑,
- 77', Galo O. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
- 84', Grimaldo J. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
- 84', Diop M. ↓, Pena B. ↑,
- 87', Traore A. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 3, Taiwo A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Liepāja
13.7% | Draw
21.5% | Riga
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Liepāja - Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.69 ↑
(6.6) |
4.27 ↓
(4.63) |
1.42 ↑
(1.37) |
8.9%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liepāja - Riga?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Riga will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Riga (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 0.
- Liepāja is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Riga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Riga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Riga has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Riga is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:41. (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Riga?
Liepāja has won 0 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against Liepāja?
Riga has won 11 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Riga were as follows:
19.05.2025
Riga
-
Liepāja
2:0
03.04.2025
Liepāja
-
Riga
2:5
29.09.2024
Riga
-
Liepāja
1:0
07.07.2024
Liepāja
-
Riga
0:3
14.05.2024
Liepāja
-
Riga
1:1
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
