RFS vs Ajax: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Daugavas stadions (Riga).

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 7
Referee: Barbu M. (Rou)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.21	0.96
Ball Possession
30%	70%
Goal Attempts
7	13
Shots on Goal
2	6
Shots off Goal
3	6
Blocked Shots
2	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
1	5
Shots inside the Box
2	8
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
Free Kicks
7	14
Offsides
0	2
Fouls
14	7
Yellow Cards
3	1
Throw-ins
13	29
Touches in the Opposition Box
6	15
Passes
72% (218/301)	85% (572/671)
Passes in the final third
51% (37/73)	68% (108/160)
Crosses
0% (0/3)	17% (4/23)
Tackles
73% (16/22)	54% (13/24)
Clearances Total
40	8
Interceptions
14	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Markhiev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Savalnieks R. 🟨,
60', Brobbey B. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
60', Gaaei A. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
60', Kouadio C. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
67', Panic S. 🟨,
73', Godts M. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Markhiev A. ⚽,
81', Taylor K. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
81', Traore B. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
83', van den Boomen B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

RFS
12.2%

Draw
19.3%

Ajax
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

21.1%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RFS's form might have worsened.

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajax's recent form is better than expected.

RFS - Ajax Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.84 ↑ (5.49)	5.02 ↑ (4.54)	1.4 ↓ (1.56)	4.2% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for RFS - Ajax?

Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 2 - 2.5%). Ajax will win (votes: 71 - 88.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 81.9% – 95.7%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Daugavas stadions.
Ajax is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Ajax have a series of guest games.
In this match Ajax is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in RFS: Diomande I. (Knee Injury) Kigurs M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Ajax: Hato J. (Yellow Cards) Wijndal O. (Knock) van Axel Dongen A. (Knock)
There are questionable in Ajax: Tahirovic B. (Concussion)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Ajax?

RFS has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against RFS?

Ajax has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between RFS - Ajax were as follows:

Latest results of RFS

18.01.2025 Žalgiris - RFS 0:1 ✺

12.12.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv - RFS 2:1 ✺

28.11.2024 RFS - PAOK 0:2 ✺

22.11.2024 RFS - Flora Tallinn 3:0 ✺

10.11.2024 RFS - Riga 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Ajax

19.01.2025 Heerenveen - Ajax 0:2 ✺

14.01.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Ajax 2:0 ✺

11.01.2025 Ajax - Waalwijk 2:1 ✺

05.01.2025 Stuttgart - Ajax 2:2 ✺

22.12.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 0:2 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Lugano	Bye
2	Paks	CFR Cluj
3	Sabah Baku	Celje
4	AEK Larnaca	Partizan
5	Levski Sofia	H. Beer Sheva
6	Bye	Braga
7	Ostrava	Bye
8	Legia	Aktobe
9	Anderlecht	Bye
10	Trnava	Hacken
11	Sheriff Tiraspol	Prishtina
12	Bye	Utrecht
13	Midtjylland	Bye
14	Bye	Hibernian
15	Besiktas	Bye
16	Shakhtar Donetsk	Ilves

Quarter-finals

1	Lugano	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	Braga
4	Ostrava	TBD #8
5	Anderlecht	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	Utrecht
7	Midtjylland	Hibernian
8	Besiktas	TBD #16

Which TV channels are streaming of RFS - Ajax?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	ESPN 2
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	SportsMax Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 6
Portugal	DAZN 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, SportsMax App