Result
2:3
03/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 22% | 78% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (149/217) | 92% (716/780) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (149/217) | 92% (716/780) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (13/49) | 73% (33/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 82% (206/251) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.63 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Mares P. ⚽, Savalnieks R. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Baravykas R. ⚽, Morarenko S. (A),
- 45', Dzerins R. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Ikaunieks J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Diedhiou B. ↓, Talla M. ↑,
- 46', Ikaunieks D. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 3, Lemajic D. ⚽, Savalnieks R. (A),
- 65', Porsan Clemente J. ↓, Wouter T. ↑,
- 71', Dzerins R. ↓, Grjaznovs A. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 3, Baravykas R. (Pen),
- 80', Krautmanis J. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
- 80', Morarenko S. ↓, Borisovs R. ↑,
- 80', Fjodorovs M. ↓, Knapsis E. ↑,
- 85', Dobrecovs D. 🟨,
- 85', Mares P. ↓, Njie H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grobiņa
9.7% | Draw
16.9% | RFS
73.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Grobiņa - RFS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.53 ↓
(11.6) |
5.46 ↓
(5.98) |
1.26 ↑
(1.18) |
8.5%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grobiņa - RFS?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFS: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. RFS (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 0.
- Grobiņa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- RFS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- RFS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, RFS is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1:29. (average 0.1:4.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against RFS?
Grobiņa has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Grobiņa?
RFS has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grobiņa - RFS were as follows:
31.05.2025
RFS
-
Grobiņa
6:0
15.04.2025
Grobiņa
-
RFS
1:4
03.11.2024
Grobiņa
-
RFS
0:2
11.08.2024
RFS
-
Grobiņa
3:0
02.06.2024
RFS
-
Grobiņa
5:0
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 67 |
| 2 | RFS | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 70:25 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 44 |
| 4 | Auda | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 34 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 24 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Metta | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23:52 | -29 | 21 |
| 10 | Grobina | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 23:49 | -26 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
