Result
3:1
18/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (439/516) | 76% (244/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (439/516) | 76% (244/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (107/159) | 62% (52/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (18/22) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Ikaunieks J. 🟨,
- 31', Panic S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Talla M. ↓, Odisharia L. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 1, Ikaunieks J. ⚽,
- 54', 1 - 1, Ankrah A. ⚽, Mankenda G. (A),
- 63', Grimaldo J. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
- 64', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Regza M. ↑,
- 64', Karashima Y. ↓, Ndjiki R. ↑,
- 75', Mankenda G. ↓, Pena B. ↑,
- 79', Mares P. ↓, Savalnieks R. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Regza M. ⚽, Diop M. (A),
- 89', Regza M. 🟨,
- 89', Ndjiki R. ↓, Stuglis E. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Ankrah A. ⚽, Regza M. (A),
- 90+3', Mankenda G. 🟨,
- 90+5', Diop M. ↓, Cernomordijs A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Riga
47.7% | Draw
27.8% | RFS
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga's performance.RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RFS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Riga - RFS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.17) |
3.33 ↑
(3.3) |
3.77 ↑
(2.96) |
8.2%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Riga - RFS?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 3 - 60%). RFS will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga won 2.
- Riga is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- RFS is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Riga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Riga could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Riga won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Riga won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against RFS?
Riga has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Riga?
RFS has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Riga - RFS were as follows:
26.04.2025
RFS
-
Riga
0:1
01.03.2025
RFS
-
Riga
3:1
10.11.2024
RFS
-
Riga
1:2
23.09.2024
RFS
-
Riga
2:1
25.08.2024
Riga
-
RFS
0:0
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
