Result
2:4
19/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (149/237) | 85% (444/520) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 3.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (149/237) | 85% (444/520) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 64% (35/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (46/94) | 79% (143/180) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.09 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kurokawa A. ⚽, Samoilovs B. (A),
- 8', 1 - 1, Ikaunieks J. ⚽, Mares P. (A),
- 24', 1 - 2, Lemajic D. ⚽, Rakic S. (A),
- 27', 2 - 2, Pulis I. ⚽, Samoilovs B. (A),
- 44', Dusalijevs N. 🟨,
- 45+1', Reingolcs R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Rakic S. ↓, Kigurs M. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 3, Kouadio A. ⚽, Kigurs M. (A),
- 51', Kouadio A. 🟨,
- 61', Kouadio A. ↓, Talla M. ↑,
- 61', Savalnieks R. ↓, Zelenkovs D. ↑,
- 63', Anmanis ↓, Volkovs K. ↑,
- 63', Samoilovs B. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
- 69', Toba J. ↓, Joksts H. ↑,
- 77', Kholod A. ↓, Semesko M. ↑,
- 77', Kurokawa A. ↓, Putrans D. ↑,
- 78', Mares P. ↓, Njie H. ↑,
- 78', Veips R. ↓, Odisharia L. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 4, Lemajic D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Tukums 2000
9.4% | Draw
14.5% | RFS
76.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tukums 2000's form might have worsened.RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RFS's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tukums 2000, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Tukums 2000 - RFS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.95 ↑
(5.75) |
6.45 ↑
(5.66) |
1.23 ↓
(1.32) |
7.1%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Tukums 2000 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, RFS has had a series of home games.
- In this match, RFS is the clear favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:52. (average 1.1:4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:25. (average 1.5:4.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against RFS?
Tukums 2000 has won 0 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Tukums 2000?
RFS has won 12 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - RFS were as follows:
26.07.2025
RFS
-
Tukums 2000
6:2
25.05.2025
Tukums 2000
-
RFS
2:5
09.04.2025
RFS
-
Tukums 2000
2:0
20.10.2024
RFS
-
Tukums 2000
4:1
27.07.2024
Tukums 2000
-
RFS
1:4
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 81:21 | 60 | 86 |
| 2 | RFS | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 88:35 | 53 | 78 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 48:55 | -7 | 47 |
| 5 | Auda | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 37:62 | -25 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobina | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 30 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Metta | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 31:69 | -38 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
