Result
05/10/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Gorica 29.5% | Draw 28.9% | Rijeka 41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Gorica - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.16 ↓ (3.23) |
3.19 ↓ (3.2) |
2.23 ↓ (2.24) |
7.8% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 0.
- In recent matches, Gorica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rijeka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Rijeka could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Rijeka?
Gorica has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Gorica?
Rijeka has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Rijeka were as follows:
04.05.2025
Rijeka
-
Gorica
2:1
01.03.2025
Gorica
-
Rijeka
0:0
30.11.2024
Rijeka
-
Gorica
1:0
14.09.2024
Gorica
-
Rijeka
0:1
21.04.2024
Rijeka
-
Gorica
3:0
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 19 |
2 | Hajduk Split | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 16 |
3 | Varazdin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
4 | Lok. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
5 | Istra 1961 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
6 | Gorica | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
7 | Osijek | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
8 | Slaven Belupo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 9 |
9 | Rijeka | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
10 | Vukovar 1991 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL