Gorica vs Rijeka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Croatian HNL Gorica - Rijeka
05/10/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Gorica
29.5%
Draw
28.9%
Rijeka
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 29.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 27.6% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Gorica - Rijeka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (3.23)
    3.19
    (3.2)
    2.23
    (2.24)
    7.8%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 0.
    • In recent matches, Gorica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rijeka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rijeka could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Rijeka were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Rijeka - Gorica 2:1
    01.03.2025 Gorica - Rijeka 0:0
    30.11.2024 Rijeka - Gorica 1:0
    14.09.2024 Gorica - Rijeka 0:1
    21.04.2024 Rijeka - Gorica 3:0
    Latest results of Gorica
    28.09.2025 Gorica - Osijek 0:1
    21.09.2025 Gorica - Slaven Belupo 2:1
    14.09.2025 Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica 1:2
    10.09.2025 Libertas Novska - Gorica 1:3
    05.09.2025 Maribor - Gorica 4:2
    Latest results of Rijeka
    02.10.2025 Noah Yerevan - Rijeka 1:0
    27.09.2025 Rijeka - Istra 1961 0:0
    22.09.2025 Vukovar 91 - Rijeka 3:2
    13.09.2025 Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb 1:1
    31.08.2025 Hajduk Split - Rijeka 2:2
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb861119:51419
    2Hajduk Split851213:7616
    3Varazdin933310:10012
    4Lok. Zagreb83329:10-112
    5Istra 196193339:11-212
    6Gorica832310:10011
    7Osijek82337:709
    8Slaven Belupo830510:16-69
    9Rijeka81438:10-27
    10Vukovar 199181258:17-95

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