Gorica vs Rijeka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Croatian HNL Gorica - Rijeka
Result
1:3
05/10/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • HNL - Round 9
  • Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.742.04
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
86% (458/531)78% (223/286)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.742.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.262.14
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1421
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
119
Passes
86% (458/531)78% (223/286)
Long passes
46% (18/39)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
70% (77/110)63% (47/75)
Crosses
10% (3/30)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.46
Throw-ins
3223
Fouls
911
Tackles
75% (6/8)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4435
Clearances
1532
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
2.141.26
Goals prevented
-0.860.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Dantas T. ,
  • 33', Pozo I. 🟨,
  • 44', Carevic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', Petrovic D. 🟨,
  • 60', Kavelj A. , Bakic O. ,
  • 60', Pavicic D. , Vrzic L. ,
  • 63', Thaqi D. , Menalo L. ,
  • 63', Cop D. , Adu Adjei D. ,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Fruk T. , Adu Adjei D. (A),
  • 69', Fruk T. , Jankovic N. ,
  • 69', Dantas T. , Gojak A. ,
  • 70', Durakovic E. , Gashi M. ,
  • 78', Prsir J. , Fiolic I. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Cuic F. , Gashi M. (A),
  • 82', 1 - 3, Adu Adjei D. , Radeljic S. (A),
  • 90+2', Lasickas J. , Kitin L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gorica
25.4%
Draw
29.1%
Rijeka
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 29.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 27.6% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gorica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rijeka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gorica - Rijeka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.88
    (3.23)
    3.3
    (3.2)
    2.11
    (2.24)
    3.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gorica - Rijeka?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Rijeka will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 0.
    • Gorica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rijeka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Gorica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Rijeka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gorica: Erceg A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Rijeka: Cop D. (Inactive) Devetak M. (Yellow Cards) Kreilach D. (Inactive) Rukavina G. (Inactive) Skoric M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gorica: Peric S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Rijeka were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Rijeka - Gorica 2:1
    01.03.2025 Gorica - Rijeka 0:0
    30.11.2024 Rijeka - Gorica 1:0
    14.09.2024 Gorica - Rijeka 0:1
    21.04.2024 Rijeka - Gorica 3:0
    Latest results of Gorica
    28.09.2025 Gorica - Osijek 0:1
    21.09.2025 Gorica - Slaven Belupo 2:1
    14.09.2025 Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica 1:2
    10.09.2025 Libertas Novska - Gorica 1:3
    05.09.2025 Maribor - Gorica 4:2
    Latest results of Rijeka
    02.10.2025 Noah Yerevan - Rijeka 1:0
    27.09.2025 Rijeka - Istra 1961 0:0
    22.09.2025 Vukovar 91 - Rijeka 3:2
    13.09.2025 Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb 1:1
    31.08.2025 Hajduk Split - Rijeka 2:2
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hajduk Split1181220:81225
    2D. Zagreb1071222:81422
    3Lok. Zagreb1044212:12016
    4Varazdin1043313:11215
    5Slaven Belupo1041513:18-513
    6Istra 1961103349:14-512
    7Rijeka1025312:12011
    8Gorica1132613:19-611
    9Osijek102359:11-29
    10Vukovar 1991101369:19-106

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