Result
1:0
21/12/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 18
- Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (403/473) | 82% (300/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (403/473) | 82% (300/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 61% (30/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (109/148) | 59% (37/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pelko V. ↓, Cuic F. ↑,
- 47', Petrovic D. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 0, Juric A. ⚽, Dantas T. (A),
- 59', Jankovic N. ↓, Menalo L. ↑,
- 67', Sanchez V. 🟨,
- 68', Pavicic D. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 68', Bakic O. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 70', Juric A. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 81', Prsir J. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
- 82', Orec A. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
- 82', Vignato S. ↓, Ndockyt M. ↑,
- 82', Les M. 🟨,
- 90', Fiolic I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
60.8% | Draw
23.7% | Gorica
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Rijeka - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.63) |
3.93 ↑
(3.72) |
6.02 ↑
(5.3) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Gorica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Rijeka will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 4.
- Rijeka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gorica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Rijeka is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Gojak A.
(Inactive)
Kreilach D.
(Injury)
Majstorovic A.
(Inactive)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gorica: Peric S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Rijeka: Vignato S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:16. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Gorica?
Rijeka has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Rijeka?
Gorica has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Gorica were as follows:
05.10.2025
Gorica
-
Rijeka
1:3
04.05.2025
Rijeka
-
Gorica
2:1
01.03.2025
Gorica
-
Rijeka
0:0
30.11.2024
Rijeka
-
Gorica
1:0
14.09.2024
Gorica
-
Rijeka
0:1
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 38:16 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:17 | 12 | 37 |
| 3 | Istra 1961 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Rijeka | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 24 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 23 |
| 7 | Gorica | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 | Lok. Zagreb | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:30 | -10 | 19 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | Osijek | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
