Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 33
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/362) | 83% (358/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/362) | 83% (358/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (20/59) | 48% (32/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (55/85) | 69% (55/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/23) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Jankovic N. ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 0, Rukavina G. ⚽,
- 38', Cop D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Slogar M. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 46', Pajaziti A. ↓, Bralic S. ↑,
- 46', Cuic F. ↓, Kolar M. ↑,
- 60', Rukavina G. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 64', Devetak M. 🟨,
- 64', Elezi A. 🟨,
- 65', Ndockyt M. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 73', Djouahra N. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
- 73', Selahi L. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
- 79', Radeljic S. 🟨,
- 80', Jankovic N. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Halilovic T. ⚽,
- 83', Cop D. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 87', Butic S. 🟨,
- 88', Elezi A. ↓, Caic V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
64.4% | Draw
23.4% | Gorica
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)The chances for Gorica have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Rijeka - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.47) |
3.94 ↑
(3.78) |
7.58 ↓
(7.6) |
7.1%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Gorica?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Gorica will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gorica (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 4.
- Recent performances by Rijeka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gorica is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Rijeka is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Fruk T.
(Yellow Cards)
Orec A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Gorica: Fiolic I.
(Injury)
Prsir J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rijeka: Butic S.
(Inactive)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gorica: Les M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Gorica?
Rijeka has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Rijeka?
Gorica has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Gorica were as follows:
01.03.2025
Gorica
-
Rijeka
0:0
30.11.2024
Rijeka
-
Gorica
1:0
14.09.2024
Gorica
-
Rijeka
0:1
21.04.2024
Rijeka
-
Gorica
3:0
11.02.2024
Gorica
-
Rijeka
0:2
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Gorica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Rijeka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 7 | Varazdin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 8 | Osijek | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
