PAOK vs Rijeka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League PAOK - Rijeka
Result
5:0
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
greeceGreeceOpen TV
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.70
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (464/549)73% (234/322)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.70
xG on target (xGOT)
4.240.93
Total shots
186
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
305
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
85% (464/549)73% (234/322)
Long passes
58% (30/52)35% (21/60)
Passes in final third
68% (103/152)50% (23/46)
Crosses
27% (6/22)67% (2/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.21
Throw-ins
3116
Fouls
1210
Tackles
70% (7/10)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3633
Clearances
929
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.934.24
Goals prevented
0.93-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Meite S. , Zivkovic A. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Konstantelias G. , Meite S. (A),
  • 34', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', 3 - 0, Chalov F. , Konstantelias G. (A),
  • 60', Menalo L. , Cop D. ,
  • 60', Orec A. , Butic S. ,
  • 69', Chalov F. , Giakoumakis G. ,
  • 69', Despodov K. , Taison ,
  • 71', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
  • 75', Dantas T. , Husic A. ,
  • 77', 4 - 0, Giakoumakis G. , Konstantelias G. (A),
  • 79', Konstantelias G. , Pelkas D. ,
  • 80', Ozdoev M. , Camara M. ,
  • 80', Zivkovic A. , Ivanusec L. ,
  • 84', Fruk T. , Bogojevic B. ,
  • 89', 5 - 0, Pelkas D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


PAOK
63.2%
Draw
23.2%
Rijeka
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 22.4% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 21.1% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • PAOK - Rijeka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.39)
    4
    (3.98)
    6.85
    (6.7)
    7.2%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for PAOK - Rijeka?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Rijeka will win (votes: 10 - 21.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 59.5%85.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 6 - 50%). Rijeka (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
    • BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • PAOK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rijeka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, PAOK is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, PAOK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between PAOK - Rijeka were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Rijeka - PAOK 1:0
    Latest results of PAOK
    24.08.2025 PAOK - AEL Larissa 1:0
    21.08.2025 Rijeka - PAOK 1:0
    14.08.2025 Wolfsberger - PAOK 0:1
    07.08.2025 PAOK - Wolfsberger 0:0
    26.07.2025 NEC Nijmegen - PAOK 2:3
    Latest results of Rijeka
    24.08.2025 Rijeka - Varaždin 1:2
    21.08.2025 Rijeka - PAOK 1:0
    16.08.2025 Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb 0:2
    12.08.2025 Shelbourne - Rijeka 1:3
    09.08.2025 Osijek - Rijeka 0:0
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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