PAOK vs Rijeka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League PAOK - Rijeka
Result
5:0
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
greeceGreeceOpen TV
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.70
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (464/549)73% (234/322)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.70
xG on target (xGOT)
4.240.93
Total shots
186
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
305
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
85% (464/549)73% (234/322)
Long passes
58% (30/52)35% (21/60)
Passes in final third
68% (103/152)50% (23/46)
Crosses
27% (6/22)67% (2/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.21
Throw-ins
3116
Fouls
1210
Tackles
70% (7/10)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3633
Clearances
929
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.934.24
Goals prevented
0.93-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Meite S. , Zivkovic A. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Konstantelias G. , Meite S. (A),
  • 34', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', 3 - 0, Chalov F. , Konstantelias G. (A),
  • 60', Menalo L. , Cop D. ,
  • 60', Orec A. , Butic S. ,
  • 69', Chalov F. , Giakoumakis G. ,
  • 69', Despodov K. , Taison ,
  • 71', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
  • 75', Dantas T. , Husic A. ,
  • 77', 4 - 0, Giakoumakis G. , Konstantelias G. (A),
  • 79', Konstantelias G. , Pelkas D. ,
  • 80', Ozdoev M. , Camara M. ,
  • 80', Zivkovic A. , Ivanusec L. ,
  • 84', Fruk T. , Bogojevic B. ,
  • 89', 5 - 0, Pelkas D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


PAOK
63.2%
Draw
23.2%
Rijeka
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 22.4% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 21.1% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • PAOK - Rijeka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.39)
    4
    (3.98)
    6.85
    (6.7)
    7.2%
    (12%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for PAOK - Rijeka?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Rijeka will win (votes: 10 - 21.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 59.5%85.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 6 - 50%). Rijeka (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
    • BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • PAOK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rijeka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, PAOK is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, PAOK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between PAOK - Rijeka were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Rijeka - PAOK 1:0
    Latest results of PAOK
    24.08.2025 PAOK - AEL Larissa 1:0
    21.08.2025 Rijeka - PAOK 1:0
    14.08.2025 Wolfsberger - PAOK 0:1
    07.08.2025 PAOK - Wolfsberger 0:0
    26.07.2025 NEC Nijmegen - PAOK 2:3
    Latest results of Rijeka
    24.08.2025 Rijeka - Varaždin 1:2
    21.08.2025 Rijeka - PAOK 1:0
    16.08.2025 Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb 0:2
    12.08.2025 Shelbourne - Rijeka 1:3
    09.08.2025 Osijek - Rijeka 0:0
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv0 : 1, 3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets1 : 4, 2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys2 : 3, 0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc2 : 0, 3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor0 : 0, 2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB0 : 3, 2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk2 : 1, 1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS2 : 0, 4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga1 : 5, 0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 0, 0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca4 : 0, 2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK0 : 5, 1 : 0