Result
5:0
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Greece | Open TV |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (464/549) | 73% (234/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.24 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (464/549) | 73% (234/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 35% (21/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (103/152) | 50% (23/46) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 67% (2/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 4.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Meite S. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Konstantelias G. ⚽, Meite S. (A),
- 34', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 56', 3 - 0, Chalov F. ⚽, Konstantelias G. (A),
- 60', Menalo L. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 60', Orec A. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
- 69', Chalov F. ↓, Giakoumakis G. ↑,
- 69', Despodov K. ↓, Taison ↑,
- 71', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
- 75', Dantas T. ↓, Husic A. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 0, Giakoumakis G. ⚽, Konstantelias G. (A),
- 79', Konstantelias G. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
- 80', Ozdoev M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 80', Zivkovic A. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
- 84', Fruk T. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 89', 5 - 0, Pelkas D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
PAOK
63.2% | Draw
23.2% | Rijeka
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
PAOK - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.39) |
4 ↑
(3.98) |
6.85 ↑
(6.7) |
7.2%
(12%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for PAOK - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Rijeka will win (votes: 10 - 21.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 59.5% – 85.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 6 - 50%). Rijeka (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
- BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- PAOK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rijeka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, PAOK is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, PAOK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against Rijeka?
PAOK has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against PAOK?
Rijeka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between PAOK - Rijeka were as follows:
21.08.2025
Rijeka
-
PAOK
1:0
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Lille | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Plzen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Betis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Ferencvaros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Basel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Brann | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Young Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | Ludogorets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 23 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 | FCSB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Crvena zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Bologna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 28 | PAOK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Celtic | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 31 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 34 | Salzburg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | Feyenoord | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 36 | Malmo FF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
