Result
5:0
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Greece | Open TV |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.23 | 0.70 |
Ball Possession |
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63% | 37% |
Total shots |
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18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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11 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 2 |
Passes |
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85% (464/549) | 73% (234/322) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 2 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.23 | 0.70 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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4.24 | 0.93 |
Total shots |
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18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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11 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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12 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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30 | 5 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 12 |
Passes |
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85% (464/549) | 73% (234/322) |
Long passes |
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58% (30/52) | 35% (21/60) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (103/152) | 50% (23/46) |
Crosses |
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27% (6/22) | 67% (2/3) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.49 | 0.21 |
Throw-ins |
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31 | 16 |
Fouls |
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12 | 10 |
Tackles |
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70% (7/10) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
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36 | 33 |
Clearances |
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9 | 29 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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2 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
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0.93 | 4.24 |
Goals prevented |
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0.93 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Meite S. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Konstantelias G. ⚽, Meite S. (A),
- 34', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 56', 3 - 0, Chalov F. ⚽, Konstantelias G. (A),
- 60', Menalo L. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 60', Orec A. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
- 69', Chalov F. ↓, Giakoumakis G. ↑,
- 69', Despodov K. ↓, Taison ↑,
- 71', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
- 75', Dantas T. ↓, Husic A. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 0, Giakoumakis G. ⚽, Konstantelias G. (A),
- 79', Konstantelias G. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
- 80', Ozdoev M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 80', Zivkovic A. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
- 84', Fruk T. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 89', 5 - 0, Pelkas D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
PAOK 63.2% | Draw 23.2% | Rijeka 13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
PAOK - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↑ (1.39) |
4 ↑ (3.98) |
6.85 ↑ (6.7) |
7.2% (12%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for PAOK - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Rijeka will win (votes: 10 - 21.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 59.5% – 85.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 6 - 50%). Rijeka (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
- BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- PAOK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rijeka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, PAOK is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, PAOK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against Rijeka?
PAOK has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against PAOK?
Rijeka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between PAOK - Rijeka were as follows:
21.08.2025
Rijeka
-
PAOK
1:0
Draw
Qualification1/8-finals1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
4 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
8 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
9 | Shkendija | Bye | |
16 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
17 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
24 | Bye | Young Boys | |
25 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
32 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
33 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
35 | Besiktas | Bye | |
36 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
40 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
41 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
45 | FCSB | Bye | |
48 | Bye | Drita | |
49 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
56 | Bye | Genk | |
57 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
59 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
60 | Bye | Hibernian | |
61 | RFS | Bye | |
64 | Bye | KuPS | |
65 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
68 | Bye | Noah | |
69 | Lugano | Bye | |
70 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
71 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
72 | Bye | Braga | |
73 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
76 | Bye | Breidablik | |
77 | Servette | Bye | |
79 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
80 | Bye | Utrecht | |
81 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
82 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
84 | Bye | Brann | |
85 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
86 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
87 | Ostrava | Bye | |
88 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
89 | Rijeka | Bye | |
92 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
93 | PAOK | Bye | |
96 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Quarter-finals1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
2 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
4 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
5 | Shkendija | Bye | |
8 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
9 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
12 | Bye | Young Boys | |
13 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
16 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
17 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
18 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
20 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
21 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
23 | FCSB | Bye | |
24 | Bye | Drita | |
25 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
28 | Bye | Genk | |
29 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
30 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
31 | RFS | Bye | |
32 | Bye | KuPS | |
33 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
34 | Bye | Noah | |
35 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
36 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
37 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
38 | Bye | Breidablik | |
39 | Servette | Bye | |
40 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 4, 1 : 3 |
41 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
42 | Bye | Brann | |
43 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
44 | Ostrava | Legia | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
45 | Rijeka | Bye | |
46 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
47 | PAOK | Bye | |
48 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Semi-finals1 | Hamrun | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 3, 1 : 2 |
2 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
3 | Shkendija | Bye | |
4 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
5 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
6 | Bye | Young Boys | |
7 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
8 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
9 | Panathinaikos | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
11 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
12 | FCSB | Drita | 3 : 1, 3 : 2 |
13 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
14 | Bye | Genk | |
15 | Fredrikstad | Midtjylland | 0 : 2, 1 : 3 |
16 | RFS | KuPS | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
17 | Lincoln Red Imps | Noah | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
18 | CFR Cluj | Braga | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
19 | Zrinjski | Breidablik | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
20 | Servette | Utrecht | 1 : 2, 1 : 3 |
21 | Hacken | Brann | 1 : 0, 0 : 2 |
22 | AEK Larnaca | Legia | 1 : 2, 4 : 1 |
23 | Rijeka | Shelbourne | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
24 | PAOK | Wolfsberger AC | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
Final1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 1, 3 : 1 |
2 | Shkendija | Ludogorets | 1 : 4, 2 : 1 |
3 | Slovan Bratislava | Young Boys | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
4 | Malmo FF | Sigma Olomouc | 2 : 0, 3 : 0 |
5 | Panathinaikos | Samsunspor | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
6 | Aberdeen | FCSB | 0 : 3, 2 : 2 |
7 | Lech Poznan | Genk | 2 : 1, 1 : 5 |
8 | Midtjylland | KuPS | 2 : 0, 4 : 0 |
9 | Lincoln Red Imps | Braga | 1 : 5, 0 : 4 |
10 | Zrinjski | Utrecht | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
11 | Brann | AEK Larnaca | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
12 | Rijeka | PAOK | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |