Result
1:2
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 4
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (340/419) | 79% (273/346) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (340/419) | 79% (273/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (61/93) | 71% (47/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Fruk T. ⚽, Dantas T. (A),
- 9', Tavares I. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 1, Mamut I. (Pen),
- 27', Belcar L. 🟨,
- 28', Cop D. 🟨,
- 37', Devetak M. 🟨,
- 45', Mladenovski M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ilinkovic S. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
- 46', Cop D. ↓, Menalo L. ↑,
- 46', Devetak M. ↓, Ndockyt M. ↑,
- 68', Tavares I. ↓, Abdullazada R. ↑,
- 68', Ba L. ↓, Puncec R. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Latkovic A. ⚽, Mamut I. (A),
- 74', Jankovic N. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 76', Ndockyt M. 🟨,
- 78', Skaricic L. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
- 78', Mamut I. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
- 79', Lasickas J. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 81', Puncec R. 🟨,
- 82', Gojak A. 🟨,
- 83', Latkovic A. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
59.3% | Draw
24.8% | Varaždin
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Rijeka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Rijeka - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.56) |
3.92 ↑
(3.75) |
6.28 ↑
(5.78) |
3.5%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Varaždin?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Rijeka is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Skoric M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Varaždin: Ba L.
(Inactive)
Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
Mamic L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Varaždin: Barac M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Varaždin?
Rijeka has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Rijeka?
Varaždin has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Varaždin were as follows:
13.04.2025
Rijeka
-
Varaždin
1:0
01.02.2025
Varaždin
-
Rijeka
1:0
26.10.2024
Rijeka
-
Varaždin
1:1
11.08.2024
Varaždin
-
Rijeka
0:0
11.05.2024
Varaždin
-
Rijeka
3:1
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
