Result
1:0
13/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (228/315) | 86% (452/526) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (228/315) | 86% (452/526) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (17/61) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (49/91) | 83% (95/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.81 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Ba L. 🟨,
- 25', Radeljic S. 🟨,
- 43', Dabro M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dabro M. ↓, Cuic M. ↑,
- 46', Ba L. ↓, Skaricic L. ↑,
- 55', Radeljic S. 🟨,
- 60', Cop D. ↓, Menalo L. ↑,
- 61', Vuk M. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
- 64', Orec A. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 72', Marina M. ↓, Sierra J. ↑,
- 78', Djouahra N. ↓, Manev J. ↑,
- 84', Manev J. 🟨,
- 85', Duvnjak T. ↓, Poldrugac J. ↑,
- 86', Sierra J. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 0, Menalo L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
59.3% | Draw
26% | Varaždin
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Rijeka - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.64) |
3.61 ↑
(3.43) |
6.38 ↑
(6.04) |
6.9%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Varaždin?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 1.
- Rijeka is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Varaždin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Varaždin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Rijeka is a favorite.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Gojak A.
(Yellow Cards)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Varaždin: Barac M.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:20 (average 1.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rijeka won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:8 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Varaždin?
Rijeka has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Rijeka?
Varaždin has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Varaždin were as follows:
01.02.2025
Varaždin
-
Rijeka
1:0
26.10.2024
Rijeka
-
Varaždin
1:1
11.08.2024
Varaždin
-
Rijeka
0:0
11.05.2024
Varaždin
-
Rijeka
3:1
03.03.2024
Rijeka
-
Varaždin
2:0
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Lok. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Osijek | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
