Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 13
- Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 32 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (191/269) | 86% (462/535) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 32 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 18 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (191/269) | 86% (462/535) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/66) | 64% (29/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 77% (104/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 27% (11/41) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Mamic L. ⚽, Latkovic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Fruk T. 🟨,
- 58', Petrovic D. 🟨,
- 59', Bogojevic B. 🟨,
- 62', Fruk T. ↓, Adu Adjei D. ↑,
- 62', Cop D. ↓, Jankovic N. ↑,
- 62', Bogojevic B. ↓, Orec A. ↑,
- 67', Vuk M. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
- 70', Thaqi D. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
- 74', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
- 78', Latkovic A. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
- 79', Radeljic S. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 90', Jovanov V. ↓, Barac M. ↑,
- 90', Mamic L. ↓, Abdullazada R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
28.7% | Draw
29.4% | Rijeka
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Varaždin - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(3.17) |
3.16 ↓
(3.21) |
2.23 ↑
(2.18) |
7.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rijeka will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Varaždin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Rijeka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
Mladenovski M.
(Inactive)
Puncec R.
(Inactive)
Tavares I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Kreilach D.
(Injury)
Majstorovic A.
(Yellow Cards)
Radeljic S.
(Inactive)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Rijeka?
Varaždin has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Varaždin?
Rijeka has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Rijeka were as follows:
24.08.2025
Rijeka
-
Varaždin
1:2
13.04.2025
Rijeka
-
Varaždin
1:0
01.02.2025
Varaždin
-
Rijeka
1:0
26.10.2024
Rijeka
-
Varaždin
1:1
11.08.2024
Varaždin
-
Rijeka
0:0
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 | Gorica | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Osijek | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
