Result
3:0
08/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 21
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (627/686) | 86% (343/399) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (627/686) | 86% (343/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (19/32) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (186/225) | 57% (23/40) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 0% (0/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 3.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Grillitsch F. ⚽, Victor P. (A),
- 45', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 62', Papakanellos A. ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
- 70', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Spikic D. ↑,
- 70', Monteiro T. ↓, Blesa J. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Horta R. ⚽, Grillitsch F. (A),
- 74', Victor P. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 75', Martinez G. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 82', Grillitsch F. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,
- 82', Zalazar R. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
- 84', Liavas G. ↓, Ntoi A. ↑,
- 84', Richards O. ↓, Buta L. ↑,
- 87', Lelo L. 🟨,
- 89', Gomez V. ↓, da Rocha Y. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 0, Horta R. ⚽, Moutinho J. (A),
Chances of winning
Braga
80.6% | Draw
12.7% | Rio Ave
6.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Braga - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↓
(1.23) |
7.43 ↑
(6.04) |
14.43 ↑
(12.41) |
5.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Braga - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 59.8% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Braga (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Braga (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Braga will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 2.
- Braga is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rio Ave is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Braga is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Braga: El Ouazzani A.
(Foot Injury)
Niakate S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Petrasso F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Braga: Barisic A.
(Injury)
Dorgeles M.
(Inactive)
Gorby
(Injury)
Vitor Carvalho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Rio Ave?
Braga has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Braga?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Rio Ave were as follows:
31.08.2025
Rio Ave
-
Braga
2:2
02.03.2025
Rio Ave
-
Braga
2:1
29.09.2024
Braga
-
Rio Ave
4:0
09.03.2024
Rio Ave
-
Braga
0:0
07.10.2023
Braga
-
Rio Ave
2:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
