Result
2:0
05/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (198/260) | 75% (228/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (198/260) | 75% (228/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (61/90) | 60% (51/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 69% (18/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Travassos 🟨,
- 20', Bakoulas T. 🟨,
- 22', Vrousai M. 🟨,
- 22', Kikas 🟨,
- 38', Clayton 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', Pohlmann O. ↓, Novais J. ↑,
- 59', Bakoulas T. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
- 63', Bucca L. ↓, Chico Banza ↑,
- 63', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 69', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 71', Ruiz A. ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
- 76', Morais T. ↓, Kiko Bondoso ↑,
- 77', Drame I. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 0, Clayton (Pen),
- 81', Montoia G. ↓, Mamede ↑,
- 81', Moreira P. ↓, Varela N. ↑,
- 87', Novais J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rodrigo Pinho 🟨,
- 90+2', Varela N. 🟨,
- 90+2', Clayton ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
- 90+2', Andre Luiz ↓, Tome J. ↑,
- 90+8', 2 - 0, Neto M. ⚽, Zoabi K. (A),
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
39.3% | Draw
29.1% | Estrela da Amadora
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+1%)
Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.45) |
3.23 ↑
(3.23) |
2.99 ↑
(2.96) |
6.1%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Estrela (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Estádio da Capital do Móvel./
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 15)
- Rio Ave is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Estrela has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rio Ave may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Estrela: Fabio Ronaldo
(Inactive)
Lopes M.
(Injury)
Varela N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rio Ave: Kiko Bondoso
(Inactive)
Petrasso F.
(Muscle Injury)
Richards O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Mina J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Estrela da Amadora?
Rio Ave has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Rio Ave?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
23.12.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Rio Ave
1:0
14.04.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Rio Ave
2:2
02.12.2023
Rio Ave
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
