Result
25/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 9
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
36.8% | Draw
29.9% | Rio Ave
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.55) |
3.11 ↓
(3.2) |
2.82 ↑
(2.78) |
6.3%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Rio Ave will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1.
- Estrela has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rio Ave has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Estrela: Ni
(Foot Injury)
Semeu
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T.
(Knee Injury)
Clayton
(Red Card)
Richards O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Alisson Souza
(Inactive)
Jovane
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Rio Ave?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Estrela da Amadora?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave were as follows:
05.05.2025
Rio Ave
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:0
23.12.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Rio Ave
1:0
14.04.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Rio Ave
2:2
02.12.2023
Rio Ave
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
