Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora
Result
2:0
05/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 32
  • Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.22
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
76% (198/260)75% (228/303)
Yellow Cards
46
Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.22
Total shots
198
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
76% (198/260)75% (228/303)
Long passes
49% (24/49)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
68% (61/90)60% (51/85)
Crosses
38% (6/16)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.73
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
1716
Tackles
94% (16/17)69% (18/26)
Duels won
4869
Clearances
3428
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.222.09
Goals prevented
0.22-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Travassos 🟨,
  • 20', Bakoulas T. 🟨,
  • 22', Vrousai M. 🟨,
  • 22', Kikas 🟨,
  • 38', Clayton 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', Pohlmann O. , Novais J. ,
  • 59', Bakoulas T. , Neto M. ,
  • 63', Bucca L. , Chico Banza ,
  • 63', Kikas , Rodrigo Pinho ,
  • 69', Ruiz A. 🟨,
  • 71', Ruiz A. , Leo Cordeiro ,
  • 76', Morais T. , Kiko Bondoso ,
  • 77', Drame I. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 0, Clayton (Pen),
  • 81', Montoia G. , Mamede ,
  • 81', Moreira P. , Varela N. ,
  • 87', Novais J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Rodrigo Pinho 🟨,
  • 90+2', Varela N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Clayton , Zoabi K. ,
  • 90+2', Andre Luiz , Tome J. ,
  • 90+8', 2 - 0, Neto M. , Zoabi K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rio Ave
39.3%
Draw
29.1%
Estrela da Amadora
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 29.4% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 29.9% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.45)
    3.23
    (3.23)
    2.99
    (2.96)
    6.1%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Estrela (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estádio da Capital do Móvel./
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 15)
    • Rio Ave is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Estrela has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rio Ave may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Estrela: Fabio Ronaldo (Inactive) Lopes M. (Injury) Varela N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rio Ave: Kiko Bondoso (Inactive) Petrasso F. (Muscle Injury) Richards O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Estrela: Mina J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
    23.12.2024 Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave 1:0
    14.04.2024 Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave 2:2
    02.12.2023 Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora 1:1
    Latest results of Rio Ave
    22.04.2025 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 1:2
    18.04.2025 Rio Ave - Santa Clara 1:1
    13.04.2025 Moreirense - Rio Ave 0:2
    07.04.2025 Rio Ave - Boavista 0:2
    Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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