Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 24
- Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (261/334) | 78% (312/400) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (261/334) | 78% (312/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (18/53) | 49% (31/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (52/85) | 61% (61/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 58% (15/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Vrousai M. 🟨,
- 45', Richards O. 🟨,
- 45+2', Sorriso 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Richards O. ↓, Abbey N. ↑,
- 52', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 59', Abubakar U. ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
- 70', Blesa J. ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
- 79', Nikitscher T. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
- 79', Spikic D. ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
- 80', Vrousai M. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
- 83', Tome J. 🟨,
- 85', Sorriso ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 90+2', Papakanellos A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
23.6% | Draw
26.3% | Famalicão
50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Rio Ave - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.98 ↓
(4.1) |
3.61 ↑
(3.6) |
1.9 ↑
(1.86) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Famalicão will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 16.1% – 74.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 0.
- Rio Ave is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Famalicão has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Famalicão is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B.
(Knee Injury)
Miszta C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
De Haas J.
(Yellow Cards)
Pedro Bondo
(Yellow Cards)
Sa G.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Pinheiro R.
(Inactive)
Rochinha
(Inactive)
- We predict that Famalicão will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Famalicão?
Rio Ave has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Rio Ave?
Famalicão has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Famalicão were as follows:
28.09.2025
Famalicão
-
Rio Ave
0:0
10.03.2025
Famalicão
-
Rio Ave
1:0
04.10.2024
Rio Ave
-
Famalicão
1:1
16.02.2024
Famalicão
-
Rio Ave
2:1
16.09.2023
Rio Ave
-
Famalicão
1:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
