Paços de Ferreira vs Rio Ave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Paços de Ferreira - Rio Ave
Result
3:1
21/05/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 33
  • Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paços de Ferreira
39.3%
Draw
28.9%
Rio Ave
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 27.8% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 27.5% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Paços de Ferreira - Rio Ave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.23)
    3.25
    (3.4)
    2.97
    (3.19)
    6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Rio Ave?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 23.2%63.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (56.7%), project points - 22, currently - 20, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Rio Ave has the most likely position - 12 (32.3%), project points - 42, currently - 39, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 42, very small importance 0, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 3.
    • Paços de Ferreira is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Rio Ave is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Rio Ave could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Paços de Ferreira: Bernardo P. (Red Card) Djalo M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Rio Ave: Joca (Knee Injury) Ventura B. (Injury)
    • Last 24 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 6 matches, drawn 13 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-25.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Rio Ave were as follows:
    14.01.2023 Rio Ave - Paços de Ferreira 0:1
    Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
    Latest results of Rio Ave
    07.05.2023 Marítimo - Rio Ave 2:2
    22.04.2023 Boavista - Rio Ave 3:2
    16.04.2023 Rio Ave - Casa Pia 1:1
    08.04.2023 Portimonense - Rio Ave 2:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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