Result
2:0
25/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (393/488) | 76% (292/383) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (393/488) | 76% (292/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (15/54) | 45% (29/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (68/107) | 68% (66/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Ntoi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', Gustavo 🟨,
- 58', Maga ↓, Strata T. ↑,
- 58', Sousa D. ↓, Nogueira G. ↑,
- 58', Camara O. ↓, Nogueira M. ↑,
- 60', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
- 61', Nikitscher T. 🟨,
- 62', Thiago Balieiro 🟨,
- 68', Saviolo N. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
- 69', Spikic D. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
- 69', Pohlmann O. ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Samu ⚽, Gustavo (A),
- 77', Abbey N. ↓, Richards O. ↑,
- 77', Nikitscher T. ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
- 79', Diogo Bezerra 🟨,
- 80', Samu 🟨,
- 81', Gustavo ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
- 86', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Rafael Lobato ↑,
- 90+3', Strata T. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Strata T. ⚽, Beni (A),
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
51% | Draw
27.6% | Rio Ave
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.82) |
3.42 ↑
(3.32) |
4.4 ↓
(4.79) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 42.8% – 90.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vitoria Guimarães will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 3.
- Guimarães has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rio Ave is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guimarães is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Ndoye A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Rio Ave?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave were as follows:
13.12.2025
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:1
27.04.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Rio Ave
3:0
16.12.2024
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
04.05.2024
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:1
23.12.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Rio Ave
1:0
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
