Result
3:1
21/05/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 33
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
39.3% | Draw
28.9% | Rio Ave
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Paços de Ferreira - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.23) |
3.25 ↓
(3.4) |
2.97 ↓
(3.19) |
6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 23.2% – 63.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (56.7%), project points - 22, currently - 20, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Rio Ave has the most likely position - 12 (32.3%), project points - 42, currently - 39, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 42, very small importance 0, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 3.
- Paços de Ferreira is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Rio Ave is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Rio Ave could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Paços de Ferreira: Bernardo P.
(Red Card)
Djalo M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Joca
(Knee Injury)
Ventura B.
(Injury)
- Last 24 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 6 matches, drawn 13 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-25.
- Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Rio Ave?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Paços de Ferreira?
Rio Ave has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Rio Ave were as follows:
14.01.2023
Rio Ave
-
Paços de Ferreira
0:1
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 82:23 | 59 | 76 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
