Result
2:2
03/02/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 1, SportKlub |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Ring |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Hungary | Sport 1 |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Montenegro | SportKlub |
North-macedonia | SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Russia | Match TV |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.38 | 1.52 |
Ball Possession |
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31% | 69% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
9 | 23 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
3 | 8 |
Shots off Goal |
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4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 9 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 15 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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6 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 18 |
Offsides |
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5 | 3 |
Fouls |
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18 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 22 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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16 | 32 |
Passes |
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66% (159/240) | 84% (446/529) |
Passes in the final third |
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53% (40/75) | 75% (125/167) |
Crosses |
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38% (3/8) | 23% (5/22) |
Tackles |
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69% (18/26) | 63% (10/16) |
Clearances Total |
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38 | 11 |
Interceptions |
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13 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Clayton ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', Otavio 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 1, Perez N. ⚽,
- 53', Eustaquio S. 🟨,
- 55', Anselmi M. 🟨,
- 61', Neto M. 🟨,
- 66', Eustaquio S. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
- 66', Borges G. ↓, Pepê ↑,
- 67', Petrasso F. ↓, Abbey N. ↑,
- 67', Morais T. ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
- 68', Neto M. ↓, Novais J. ↑,
- 71', Varela A. 🟨,
- 73', 2 - 1, Pohlmann O. ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 2, Otavio ⚽,
- 77', Mora R. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 81', Pohlmann O. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
- 84', Perez N. ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 87', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Panzo J. ↑,
- 90+6', Panzo J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave 12.9% | Draw 20.2% | Porto 66.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Ave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-22.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rio Ave - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.37 ↑ (6.53) |
4.71 ↑ (4.52) |
1.41 ↓ (1.45) |
5.6% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Porto?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Porto will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 57.6% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 1.
- Rio Ave is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Porto is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Porto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Porto is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Marcano I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rio Ave: Panzo J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Porto: Wendell
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 15:40 (average 0.8:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rio Ave won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:17 (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Porto?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Rio Ave?
Porto has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Porto were as follows:
24.08.2024
Porto
-
Rio Ave
2:0
03.02.2024
Porto
-
Rio Ave
0:0
28.08.2023
Rio Ave
-
Porto
1:2
18.02.2023
Porto
-
Rio Ave
1:0
28.08.2022
Rio Ave
-
Porto
3:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2