Result
0:3
19/09/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 6
- Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5, SportKlub 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (380/449) | 87% (433/495) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 3.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (380/449) | 87% (433/495) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (10/35) | 57% (24/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (82/114) | 76% (113/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.24 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Rosario P. ⚽, Veiga G. (A),
- 14', 0 - 2, Samu ⚽, Veiga G. (A),
- 25', Rosario P. 🟨,
- 33', Brabec J. 🟨,
- 45', Andre Luiz 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Varela A. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
- 52', 0 - 3, Veiga G. ⚽, Pepê (A),
- 57', Liavas G. ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
- 58', Veiga G. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
- 58', Rosario P. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
- 58', Athanasiou N. ↓, Richards O. T. C. ↑,
- 66', Spikic D. ↓, da Silva Moreira E. ↑,
- 66', Clayton ↓, Gual M. ↑,
- 72', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 73', Ntoi A. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
- 77', Pepê ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
7.6% | Draw
14.3% | Porto
78.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rio Ave - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
14.46 ↑
(7.8) |
7.56 ↑
(5) |
1.29 ↓
(1.4) |
-2.5%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Porto?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Porto will win (votes: 16 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 62.5% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Porto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 0.
- Rio Ave is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Porto is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Porto: Costa A.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandes M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Porto: Perez N.
(Injury)
William Gomes
(Injury)
de Jong L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:41. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Porto?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Rio Ave?
Porto has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Porto were as follows:
03.02.2025
Rio Ave
-
Porto
2:2
24.08.2024
Porto
-
Rio Ave
2:0
03.02.2024
Porto
-
Rio Ave
0:0
28.08.2023
Rio Ave
-
Porto
1:2
18.02.2023
Porto
-
Rio Ave
1:0
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
