Rio Ave vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Rio Ave - Porto
Result
0:3
19/09/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 6
  • Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hungaryHungarySport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5, SportKlub 1
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.182.01
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
719
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
210
Passes
85% (380/449)87% (433/495)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.182.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.153.24
Total shots
719
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
314
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
210
Touches in opposition box
635
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
85% (380/449)87% (433/495)
Long passes
29% (10/35)57% (24/42)
Passes in final third
72% (82/114)76% (113/148)
Crosses
18% (2/11)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.69
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
1118
Tackles
89% (8/9)89% (8/9)
Duels won
3738
Clearances
2811
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
3.240.15
Goals prevented
0.240.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Rosario P. , Veiga G. (A),
  • 14', 0 - 2, Samu , Veiga G. (A),
  • 25', Rosario P. 🟨,
  • 33', Brabec J. 🟨,
  • 45', Andre Luiz 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Varela A. , Zaidu ,
  • 52', 0 - 3, Veiga G. , Pepê (A),
  • 57', Liavas G. , Pohlmann O. ,
  • 58', Veiga G. , Mora R. ,
  • 58', Rosario P. , Eustaquio S. ,
  • 58', Athanasiou N. , Richards O. T. C. ,
  • 66', Spikic D. , da Silva Moreira E. ,
  • 66', Clayton , Gual M. ,
  • 72', Samu , Gul D. ,
  • 73', Ntoi A. , Nikitscher T. ,
  • 77', Pepê , Alarcon A. ,

Chances of winning


Rio Ave
7.6%
Draw
14.3%
Porto
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 19.2% 68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 18.5% 71.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rio Ave - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    14.46
    (7.8)
    7.56
    (5)
    1.29
    (1.4)
    -2.5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Porto will win (votes: 16 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 62.5%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Porto (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 0.
    • Rio Ave is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Porto is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Porto: Costa A. (Muscle Injury) Fernandes M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Porto: Perez N. (Injury) William Gomes (Injury) de Jong L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:41. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Porto were as follows:
    03.02.2025 Rio Ave - Porto 2:2
    24.08.2024 Porto - Rio Ave 2:0
    03.02.2024 Porto - Rio Ave 0:0
    28.08.2023 Rio Ave - Porto 1:2
    18.02.2023 Porto - Rio Ave 1:0
    Latest results of Rio Ave
    13.09.2025 Moreirense - Rio Ave 3:1
    31.08.2025 Rio Ave - Braga 2:2
    23.08.2025 Arouca - Rio Ave 3:3
    17.08.2025 Rio Ave - Nacional 1:1
    07.08.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Rio Ave 4:0
    Latest results of Porto
    13.09.2025 Porto - Nacional 1:0
    30.08.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:2
    24.08.2025 Porto - Casa Pia 4:0
    18.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Porto 0:2
    11.08.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 3:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto770019:11821
    2Sporting CP760119:41518
    3Benfica752013:4917
    4Gil Vicente851210:4616
    5Moreirense850312:11115
    6Famalicao73317:3412
    7Vitoria Guimaraes83239:12-311
    8Alverca831411:12-110
    9Nacional83149:12-310
    10Braga723211:749
    11Santa Clara82246:10-48
    12Casa Pia82248:13-58
    13Arouca72239:18-98
    14Estrela81436:8-27
    15Estoril813410:13-36
    16Rio Ave70528:13-55
    17Tondela71244:11-75
    18AFS80175:20-151

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