Result
2:2
03/02/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 1, SportKlub |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Montenegro | SportKlub |
 North-macedonia | SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | Match TV |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (159/240) | 84% (446/529) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 53% (40/75) | 75% (125/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 23% (5/22) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (18/26) | 63% (10/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Clayton ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', Otavio 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 1, Perez N. ⚽,
- 53', Eustaquio S. 🟨,
- 55', Anselmi M. 🟨,
- 61', Neto M. 🟨,
- 66', Eustaquio S. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
- 66', Borges G. ↓, Pepê ↑,
- 67', Petrasso F. ↓, Abbey N. ↑,
- 67', Morais T. ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
- 68', Neto M. ↓, Novais J. ↑,
- 71', Varela A. 🟨,
- 73', 2 - 1, Pohlmann O. ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 2, Otavio ⚽,
- 77', Mora R. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 81', Pohlmann O. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
- 84', Perez N. ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 87', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Panzo J. ↑,
- 90+6', Panzo J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
12.9% | Draw
20.2% | Porto
66.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Ave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-22.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rio Ave - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.37 ↑
(6.53) |
4.71 ↑
(4.52) |
1.41 ↓
(1.45) |
5.6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Porto?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Porto will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 57.6% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 1.
- Rio Ave is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Porto is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Porto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Porto is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Marcano I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rio Ave: Panzo J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Porto: Wendell
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 15:40 (average 0.8:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rio Ave won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:17 (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Porto?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Rio Ave?
Porto has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Porto were as follows:
24.08.2024
Porto
-
Rio Ave
2:0
03.02.2024
Porto
-
Rio Ave
0:0
28.08.2023
Rio Ave
-
Porto
1:2
18.02.2023
Porto
-
Rio Ave
1:0
28.08.2022
Rio Ave
-
Porto
3:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
